TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Dodgers vs. Brewers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dodgersof Dodgers, Brewers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,655,304
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,693,574

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,655,304 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Brewers47c1,056,235$497,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497,369.811338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Dodgers53c696,198$368,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327,213.063450%17 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Brewers43c285,799$123,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123,930.371,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaefe…1e4abacked Brewers47c211,345$100,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100,0002462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Dodgers52c141,317$73,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67,652.179462.8%59 W · 35 L+11.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+22.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Dodgers53c103,045$54,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,254.471,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Dodgers52c75,000$39,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,00053150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Dodgers53c65,000$34,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,549.896855.9%38 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Dodgers52c51,112$26,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,533.7730255.6%168 W · 134 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Brewers48c40,000$19,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,20026355.5%146 W · 117 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9981…dec4backed Dodgers70c35,207$24,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,735.791163.6%7 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Dodgers61c31,385$19,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,242.374965.3%32 W · 17 L+7.0wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+28%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Brewers28c31,057$8,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,846.551,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Dodgers53c30,766$16,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,614.0151151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Brewers37c29,115$10,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,772.58944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Dodgers53c25,226$13,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,803.778445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c0b…9f41backed Brewers46c22,151$10,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,197.66450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Dodgers52c20,882$10,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,023.352356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Dodgers69c20,246$14,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,190.1114153.9%76 W · 65 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Dodgers52c20,000$10,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,6003357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Brewers47c20,000$9,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,399.983826.3%10 W · 28 L-6.9wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-42.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Brewers47c20,000$9,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,399.972227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-33.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Brewers2c18,420$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.4940629.1%118 W · 288 L-2.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeb1e…88d5backed Dodgers53c18,050$9,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,564.127058.6%41 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Dodgers53c16,981$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,981.131060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Brewers42c16,379$6,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,868.864445.5%20 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0549…c052backed Dodgers53c16,288$8,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,655.337651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Dodgers54c15,483$8,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,072.715353.6%82 W · 71 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Brewers47c15,000$7,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,05016347.9%78 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3672…edbdbacked Brewers59c15,000$8,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,849.999146.2%42 W · 49 L-11.7wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-25.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Dodgers53c14,794$7,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,953.3419649.5%97 W · 99 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7412…0ccbbacked Dodgers53c14,611$7,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,852.032445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3643…27c0backed Brewers47c14,500$6,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,850250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Brewers22c13,941$3,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,016.441,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Dodgers53c13,208$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,207.552060%12 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Brewers30c12,846$3,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,916.634045%18 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Dodgers53c12,787$6,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,009.9143949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Dodgers53c12,212$6,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,754.8211551.3%59 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Brewers48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,80025453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Dodgers53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,7007349.3%36 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Brewers40c9,853$3,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,965.616653%35 W · 31 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ff…1a3abacked Brewers47c9,097$4,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,275.42633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Brewers12c8,901$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.364,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Brewers39c8,364$3,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,24919540%78 W · 117 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Dodgers49c8,027$3,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,069.1430842.9%132 W · 176 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Dodgers53c7,484$3,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,519.4273149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9af…6371backed Dodgers53c7,114$3,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,343.442045%9 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Brewers0c7,090$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.483929.4%37 W · 355 L+1.5wins0.00per pick9cpaid-40.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81b1…0f83backed Brewers48c7,079$3,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,398540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a9…4379backed Dodgers54c6,550$3,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,013250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57ee…322fbacked Brewers47c6,550$3,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,078.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x505f…5327backed Brewers47c6,500$3,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,055250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfba…3585backed Dodgers54c6,500$3,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,990250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa592…648fbacked Brewers47c6,400$3,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,008250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35d3…047bbacked Dodgers54c6,400$3,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,944250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe945…a5cbbacked Brewers48c6,249$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.74450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b86…0669backed Dodgers52c6,015$3,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,857.277548%36 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd3…c333backed Dodgers54c6,000$3,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,760250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Dodgers53c6,000$3,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8302646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x540c…a634backed Dodgers53c5,660$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,660.382152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Dodgers63c5,592$3,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,087.279749.5%48 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+94.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked Brewers48c5,583$2,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6802352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Brewers2c5,382$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.811,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Dodgers53c5,300$2,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,475.561346.3%284 W · 329 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24a7…571cbacked Brewers48c5,200$2,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,496366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Brewers39c5,128$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002536%9 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11d2…927bbacked Dodgers52c5,120$2,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,457.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4854…5397backed Brewers47c5,113$2,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,403.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Brewers47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,35019252.6%101 W · 91 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Dodgers52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40056451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x63c6…4cc5backed Dodgers52c4,600$2,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,208757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Brewers1c4,572$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.18762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x668c…9ff6backed Dodgers54c4,560$2,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,097.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec9…1018backed Dodgers53c4,543$2,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,135.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07a2…3389backed Brewers48c4,500$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,160650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Brewers47c4,495$2,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,112.7554048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0203…879cbacked Dodgers55c4,400$2,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,980250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Brewers23c4,305$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.9312,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Brewers48c4,200$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0167139.4%28 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b26…e5edbacked Brewers47c4,200$1,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,97420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed5e…f831backed Brewers46c4,001$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,840.4620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6af…2887backed Brewers46c4,000$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,840333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fd6…e7b9backed Brewers46c4,000$1,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,84410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Dodgers53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,88044749.2%220 W · 227 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Dodgers53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,88011544.3%51 W · 64 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61cd…528cbacked Dodgers54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8402100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+103.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed Dodgers53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8801741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Brewers31c3,934$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,23054941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54d2…0dbfbacked Dodgers52c3,817$1,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,832.283100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf1b…e5c8backed Dodgers54c3,800$2,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7483100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+167.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Dodgers53c3,774$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.5840348.4%195 W · 208 L-18.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c99…653bbacked Brewers48c3,601$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,728.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00e6…4f17backed Brewers48c3,600$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,728333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf71b…7af1backed Dodgers55c3,600$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6201100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x823c…0425backed Brewers48c3,461$1,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,661.123865.8%25 W · 13 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe123…9aedbacked Dodgers54c3,400$1,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Dodgers53c3,400$1,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,59826453.8%142 W · 122 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Brewers23c3,362$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.9927733.6%93 W · 184 L+13.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Dodgers52c3,340$1,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,603.21,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b48…1769backed Brewers47c3,300$1,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,551250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.