MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b851d3ee9554806599771247113bdc3a1b7b4d1bd97f04684dce514201e00bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Under | 56c | 18,004$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,003.82 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Over | 46c | 17,776$8,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,177.05 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 56c | 10,560$5,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600.56 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Under | 55c | 10,313$5,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,662.56 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Over | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Over | 44c | 9,870$4,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,329.27 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 54c | 8,301$4,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,818.46 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 7,006$2,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,203.6 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Over | 45c | 6,790$3,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,058.3 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Over | 45c | 5,509$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.86 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Under | 54c | 3,499$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.33 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Under | 44c | 2,430$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.8 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 44c | 1,943$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 54c | 1,439$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.89 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Over | 45c | 903.44$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.55 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 46c | 850.1$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.05 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Under | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed Under | 75c | 269.3$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.27 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Over | 47c | 193.32$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.86 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 53c | 189.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.29 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Over | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Under | 54c | 146.44$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.36 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x369e…d016backed Under | 53c | 114$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 115 | 60.9%70 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 54c | 104.52$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.08 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x608d…796abacked Under | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c1…012cbacked Over | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Over | 42c | 70.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Under | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0b…5ba9backed Under | 55c | 56.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 47c | 52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 258 | 54.3%140 W · 118 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Over | 46c | 44.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 54c | 36.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…824bbacked Over | 48c | 28.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +10.6wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5this page
- Dodgers vs. BrewersDodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.