MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72d32b5eca582124c6cc832e001111b3afa3e005d4dd1c508995c1392e250a06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Milwaukee Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 67c | 41,735$27,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,940.82 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 19,998$7,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,387.04 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 23c | 10,011$2,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,738.41 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 9,430$5,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,845.63 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 33c | 8,792$2,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,888.54 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 7,500$2,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,624.99 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 3,732$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,313.84 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 1,960$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.41 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 1,886$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.2 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed83…a91fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 39c | 750$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -66%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 39c | 672.49$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.72 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 333$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.46 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 165$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.65 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 150$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd7…51fcbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…c52cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf31…2931backed Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 85.21$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 39c | 78.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.76 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…a30cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 74.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df6…4992backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecf5…6a01backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…a3dcbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 37.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6a…3d68backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -70%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 21.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- Dodgers vs. BrewersDodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.