TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Wild vs. Devils

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Devilsof Wild, Devils
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$613,680
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$625,760

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $613,680 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 310 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3657…6b14backed Devils58c203,553$117,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86,290.134452.3%23 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Wild42c80,000$33,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,60014538.6%56 W · 89 L-19.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-32.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Devils53c56,497$30,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,373.8121652.3%113 W · 103 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Wild45c50,107$22,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,491.5341246.4%191 W · 221 L-24.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Wild43c48,365$20,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,802.4888151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Devils56c46,832$26,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,629.6430848.4%149 W · 159 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Wild46c35,000$16,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,099.9610451.9%54 W · 50 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Wild8c25,153$2,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,122.198746%40 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Devils57c25,000$14,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,75042552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc29a…7816backed Wild42c22,000$9,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,2408240.2%33 W · 49 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Wild43c18,266$7,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,827.2940550.9%206 W · 199 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Wild44c17,386$7,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,654.8215646.2%72 W · 84 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf024…e543backed Devils55c16,000$8,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,2001100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Wild46c14,104$6,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,465.1792848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Wild47c13,770$6,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,420.257453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Wild43c12,408$5,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,335.4130944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Devils53c12,144$6,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,707.6716656.6%94 W · 72 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Wild14c10,010$1,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,386.593818.4%7 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-62.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked Wild44c9,091$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0005253.8%28 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…f0cabacked Devils55c9,086$4,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,100.793246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Wild46c9,056$4,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,165.684944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Wild43c8,995$3,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,867.8570547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Wild46c8,700$4,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00219451.5%100 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wild46c7,000$3,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,219.981,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Wild45c6,692$3,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,016.281,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x778a…ec9dbacked Devils54c6,620$3,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,045.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Wild43c6,362$2,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,735.6463249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c75…8e3fbacked Wild45c5,906$2,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,657.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Wild18c5,870$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.789636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36f1…09aabacked Devils55c5,500$3,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Devils64c5,124$3,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,829.747149.3%35 W · 36 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x33a7…6d10backed Wild45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Wild46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30040%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa3fb…19c0backed Devils55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2506100%6 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+115.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2e2c…3c32backed Wild45c4,800$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,16010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Wild43c4,755$2,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,044.6987447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa05b…a94fbacked Wild47c4,683$2,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,201.093661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked Wild47c4,404$2,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,08612254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe80c…0c3ebacked Wild45c4,400$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,98010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Wild26c4,295$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.371,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Wild44c4,282$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,869.8537847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x045f…964bbacked Wild45c4,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Devils55c3,839$2,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,740.8658841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Wild42c3,749$1,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,567.1995049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Devils54c3,704$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.730946.3%143 W · 166 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Wild40c3,611$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,438.181,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Wild44c3,550$1,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56220147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Wild42c3,441$1,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,445.1269550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca57…9cebbacked Wild47c3,400$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,59810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4238…58a6backed Wild47c3,272$1,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,537.88560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Wild4c3,177$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.543,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Wild43c3,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29097651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34e2…ff25backed Devils55c2,700$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Wild28c2,368$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.321,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Wild45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00043743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Wild44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88089249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Wild42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84030552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Wild43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8605446.3%25 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86a3…33dbbacked Devils57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8603053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x797b…47fcbacked Wild47c1,958$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.41450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Wild46c1,925$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.551045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Devils54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.8575251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2e2…9b0cbacked Devils54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Wild43c1,836$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.4993953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcce5…bdafbacked Wild47c1,693$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.522839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Devils70c1,542$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.563964.1%25 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wild38c1,430$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.281,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeefb…c552backed Devils57c1,400$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6022259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+39.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x83d2…9c77backed Wild44c1,400$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6161947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd774…6d9fbacked Wild47c1,390$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.2850%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Wild27c1,328$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.77149.3%35 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Devils54c1,250$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.545955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b72…8899backed Wild45c1,200$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Devils77c1,160$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.2710565.7%69 W · 36 L+15.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+35.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Devils73c1,109$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.052,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Wild47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b3…40d4backed Devils57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4302839.3%11 W · 17 L-4.5wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-30.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xc23b…24f9backed Devils57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4303154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bf6…5200backed Devils54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4605856.9%33 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e08…9726backed Wild47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4701952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Wild46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46033652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3248…aad4backed Devils54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4605152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1520…378fbacked Devils56c999.99$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4403441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Wild45c999.99$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.995446.3%25 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff5b…c583backed Wild43c999.97$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.993240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Wild42c999.95$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.9821750.2%109 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Wild42c994$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.071,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe212…d5f4backed Devils54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.931952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Wild46c913.22$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.0814945%67 W · 82 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f85…a51bbacked Devils54c912.22$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.626048.3%29 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Devils65c900$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.7217153.2%91 W · 80 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Devils54c800$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36823741.4%98 W · 139 L-14.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x111c…2ac5backed Wild44c800$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3522147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cfa…8d6cbacked Devils57c800$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3441764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfffd…a1e5backed Wild46c750$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34530%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Devils57c745$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.351,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf82…756fbacked Wild16c712.5$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf57…6dffbacked Devils58c697.86$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.15058%29 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5836…7045backed Wild43c697.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12f6…6e69backed Devils57c682.05$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.285054%27 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.