NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Devils: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc42da87bec05eb672420edc8cfd8d47f19e2167ff8d5753085c8ab467da932df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6cf…0e3ebacked Over | 53c | 13,200$6,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,996 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb530…4422backed Under | 47c | 10,600$4,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,618 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8731…6e64backed Under | 47c | 9,700$4,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,141 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f0…72b0backed Under | 47c | 7,300$3,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,869 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4052…eb90backed Over | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 55c | 4,817$2,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,648.73 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a8…c0eebacked Over | 53c | 4,200$2,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,226 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8069…22cdbacked Over | 53c | 4,200$2,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,226 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 45c | 2,914$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.95 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Under | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…7816backed Under | 46c | 1,983$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.67 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 1,938$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.18 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Under | 48c | 428.6$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.42 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Over | 52c | 377.15$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.12 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…a062backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac0…52b6backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x382b…2c5abacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c1…012cbacked Over | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e4…3fd9backed Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Devils: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)Devils won
- Wild vs. DevilsDevils won
- Wild vs. Devils: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.