TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Penguins vs. Devils

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Devilsof Penguins, Devils
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$847,740
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$895,024

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $847,740 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xed88…f3c4backed Penguins39c425,250$164,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164,627.969340.9%38 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b3d…7422backed Devils62c214,000$133,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80,823.8414057.9%81 W · 59 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Devils61c82,554$50,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,421.6121652.3%113 W · 103 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Devils61c53,819$32,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,913.0316743.1%72 W · 95 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Penguins38c49,321$18,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,741.910050%50 W · 50 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Devils63c37,237$23,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,798.3810565.7%69 W · 36 L+15.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+35.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Penguins36c27,904$10,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,045.383339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Devils62c20,000$12,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,60025449.2%125 W · 129 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Penguins38c16,954$6,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,373.0211352.2%59 W · 54 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e5…86dabacked Penguins50c15,255$7,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,627.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99a0…96d2backed Devils50c15,255$7,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,627.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Devils61c15,000$9,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,85010356.3%58 W · 45 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Devils62c14,960$9,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,634.6530848.4%149 W · 159 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8525…f152backed Penguins37c14,000$5,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,154.991450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Devils61c13,091$8,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,040.575848.3%28 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Devils61c11,388$6,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,435.751,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Devils61c10,000$6,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9007850%39 W · 39 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e6e…8d20backed Penguins0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1fa…ae2ebacked Devils64c9,482$6,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,428.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d8…2478backed Devils63c9,000$5,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3301100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Devils63c7,041$4,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,576.7641246.4%191 W · 221 L-24.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4667…cab0backed Devils57c7,013$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,013.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed Devils58c6,839$3,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,869.510658.5%62 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Penguins40c6,750$2,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,72510352.4%54 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Devils64c5,563$3,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,002.55453.7%29 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Devils61c5,525$3,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,156.922,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Devils56c5,405$3,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,403.32045%9 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Penguins37c4,972$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,839.6288151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Devils63c4,516$2,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,670.8528353%150 W · 133 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Penguins37c4,381$1,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,604.591,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Penguins44c4,354$1,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,914.3782043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x132a…abe8backed Penguins27c4,233$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.944035%14 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Penguins33c4,064$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,34575251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Devils63c3,517$2,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.1848050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Penguins43c3,500$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50530447.4%144 W · 160 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Penguins48c3,438$1,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,642.0861848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ed7…e617backed Devils61c3,302$2,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.782369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Penguins39c3,300$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28711946.2%55 W · 64 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Penguins41c3,266$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.1758841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6a…f9d0backed Penguins9c3,208$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9319836.9%73 W · 125 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Devils62c3,196$1,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.6569550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked Devils64c3,125$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1258541.2%35 W · 50 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Penguins45c3,074$1,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,382.8126344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Penguins37c3,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11086649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9644…d03bbacked Devils61c3,000$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.991060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+39.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Devils61c2,990$1,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.1637847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Devils64c2,874$1,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.21,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Devils62c2,762$1,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.291,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Penguins39c2,729$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.1289249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Devils61c2,622$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.5852050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Devils55c2,612$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.691,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked Devils62c2,602$1,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.6112254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Devils61c2,598$1,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.3372847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Devils60c2,520$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.0829651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2b0…5cc1backed Penguins38c2,300$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.99785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.35per pick50cpaid+65.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x106b…4e8bbacked Penguins50c2,016$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.227236.1%26 W · 46 L-7.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked Devils62c2,007$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.545259.6%31 W · 21 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Devils61c1,947$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.691,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Penguins38c1,850$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70324845.2%112 W · 136 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Devils61c1,850$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.971,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Penguins41c1,823$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.21,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Devils62c1,691$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.491,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Devils53c1,636$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.699638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Devils56c1,607$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.1430946.3%143 W · 166 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed Devils63c1,500$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5559250%46 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x381c…94e5backed Devils65c1,500$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Devils53c1,462$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.1342847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x514f…000fbacked Devils63c1,444$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…b9febacked Penguins37c1,400$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x05bb…8ef9backed Penguins37c1,356$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.582821.4%6 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-58.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Penguins39c1,345$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.243,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Penguins38c1,300$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4942445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Devils64c1,298$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.2456649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Penguins42c1,290$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.9292848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86f8…b0f3backed Penguins50c1,193$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Devils63c1,163$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.3863249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed Devils63c1,091$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.81650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ab…97a4backed Devils64c1,063$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.52050%10 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ced…4fa9backed Penguins38c1,054$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x072a…3e85backed Devils63c1,034$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.553652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked Devils63c1,013$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.864055%22 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Penguins33c1,003$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.5633837.9%128 W · 210 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd82b…eea8backed Penguins38c1,000$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e26…abf5backed Devils64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1161…ed62backed Penguins36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3606443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Devils63c907.76$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.2815646.2%72 W · 84 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Penguins36c891.57$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.091,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Devils62c870$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.2357453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Devils54c820$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.297651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Penguins32c816$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.12,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb465…0981backed Devils65c800$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8db6…da81backed Penguins38c790.22$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Devils64c751.75$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.6313551.1%69 W · 66 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Devils64c750$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2701,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Penguins48c720.29$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.7440550.9%206 W · 199 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Devils64c691.49$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.9410448.1%50 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Penguins39c663.62$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.2995049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Penguins37c600$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22221147.4%100 W · 111 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Devils63c594.72$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.3930152.5%158 W · 143 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Penguins42c573$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.8626848.5%130 W · 138 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.