NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Wild
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc18ee8654410d7907248c0abd161cc077dc43eedfa116100bd8ad21bbce345e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildof Canadiens, Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $790,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $817,702
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $790,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 871 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Wild | 55c | 176,280$96,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,699.04 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Canadiens | 46c | 110,000$50,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,599.91 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Wild | 55c | 63,854$35,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,772.87 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Canadiens | 45c | 50,000$22,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,500 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Wild | 55c | 45,915$25,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,504.33 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Canadiens | 51c | 40,000$20,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,369.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Canadiens | 45c | 30,552$13,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,770.53 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Canadiens | 44c | 19,992$8,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,796.3 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Wild | 49c | 18,920$9,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,649.12 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…4214backed Canadiens | 49c | 14,293$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Wild | 56c | 14,286$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,285.71 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Wild | 56c | 12,500$6,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,559.98 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Canadiens | 48c | 11,357$5,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,451.24 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wild | 49c | 11,341$5,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,780.75 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Wild | 53c | 10,672$5,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,020.64 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Canadiens | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ae…4d2cbacked Canadiens | 41c | 9,284$3,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,821.28 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Wild | 56c | 8,825$4,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,883 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 44c | 8,112$3,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,548.17 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Wild | 54c | 8,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Wild | 54c | 7,730$4,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,555.63 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Canadiens | 45c | 7,389$3,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,306.4 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wild | 59c | 7,217$4,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,926.88 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Canadiens | 44c | 6,917$3,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,075.33 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wild | 56c | 6,718$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,937.91 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Canadiens | 45c | 6,667$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Canadiens | 44c | 6,500$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,859.99 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Wild | 54c | 5,502$2,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530.92 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Canadiens | 38c | 5,155$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.71 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Canadiens | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Canadiens | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Wild | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wild | 55c | 4,978$2,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.06 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Wild | 54c | 4,866$2,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250.8 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Wild | 55c | 4,755$2,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Canadiens | 47c | 4,681$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Canadiens | 46c | 4,593$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130.25 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Wild | 59c | 4,373$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.59 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Wild | 54c | 4,016$2,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.74 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Canadiens | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Canadiens | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Wild | 56c | 3,604$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.58 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2f…936abacked Wild | 56c | 3,600$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b93…1e6fbacked Wild | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd097…2a90backed Canadiens | 48c | 3,500$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Wild | 53c | 3,333$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.49 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Wild | 49c | 3,210$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625.41 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Wild | 56c | 3,201$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.27 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Canadiens | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Canadiens | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Canadiens | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wild | 57c | 2,865$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.96 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Canadiens | 45c | 2,444$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wild | 67c | 2,179$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.9 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…deb1backed Canadiens | 46c | 2,177$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.22 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c3…980cbacked Wild | 54c | 2,122$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Canadiens | 45c | 2,107$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.36 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Wild | 54c | 2,076$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.93 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Canadiens | 29c | 2,060$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.34 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Wild | 50c | 2,001$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.38 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Wild | 55c | 1,999$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.47 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Canadiens | 48c | 1,976$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.32 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Canadiens | 45c | 1,671$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.42 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Canadiens | 43c | 1,654$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.52 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Wild | 70c | 1,650$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens | 39c | 1,537$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.98 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Canadiens | 46c | 1,530$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.8 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa569…08dfbacked Canadiens | 50c | 1,526$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a8…2587backed Canadiens | 48c | 1,504$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Wild | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Wild | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0735…4d2cbacked Canadiens | 3c | 1,500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Wild | 69c | 1,457$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.7 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Wild | 52c | 1,441$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.2 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Canadiens | 69c | 1,418$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.34 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Wild | 66c | 1,361$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.25 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Canadiens | 48c | 1,343$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.79 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Wild | 52c | 1,327$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.49 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Wild | 54c | 1,241$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.1 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Canadiens | 44c | 1,235$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.67 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Canadiens | 46c | 1,218$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.28 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Canadiens | 39c | 1,201$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.86 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Canadiens | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Canadiens | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Canadiens | 45c | 1,110$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Wild | 55c | 1,108$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.42 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…9b05backed Wild | 52c | 1,058$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.69 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Canadiens | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2b…b700backed Wild | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe459…737dbacked Wild | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Wild | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb0…a8bbbacked Canadiens | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Wild | 58c | 999.99$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.96 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…a490backed Wild | 56c | 995$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…a638backed Wild | 56c | 995$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb356…0747backed Canadiens | 44c | 995$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…74f1backed Canadiens | 44c | 995$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5abf…4c0abacked Wild | 56c | 990$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdb…eecebacked Canadiens | 44c | 990$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1031…63a6backed Wild | 56c | 990$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Wildthis page
- Canadiens vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.