NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Wild: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1406a9bf208cb670228388c1134dcc884ac0abfbbae5d23214c9f90d71ab9e47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 50c | 50,059$25,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,029.62 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Over | 50c | 40,006$20,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,003.17 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 51c | 23,981$12,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,230.09 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 10,776$5,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,459.49 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Over | 49c | 6,030$2,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,075.3 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…1449backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Over | 49c | 4,255$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,169.96 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 49c | 3,829$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.79 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 52c | 3,351$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.59 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.99 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed Over | 49c | 1,476$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.76 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 51c | 1,119$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.45 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 49c | 1,111$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.72 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 50c | 955.08$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.54 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over | 49c | 934$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.34 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 50c | 902$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 769.17$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.51 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Under | 52c | 578$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.56 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Under | 49c | 575.75$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.54 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf0…f4b7backed Over | 49c | 492.65$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 51c | 480.17$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.67 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 436.8$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.11 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 49c | 428.57$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.57 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x612a…a940backed Over | 49c | 402$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…bf14backed Under | 52c | 402$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596b…6c22backed Under | 52c | 398$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f78…c245backed Over | 49c | 398$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…70e2backed Under | 52c | 383$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa88…b48bbacked Over | 49c | 383$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a4…f491backed Over | 49c | 381$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…8288backed Under | 52c | 381$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x980e…bc50backed Over | 49c | 378$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe251…3575backed Under | 52c | 378$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 54c | 332.85$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.81 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d59…e0edbacked Under | 31c | 325.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 9c | 264.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 49c | 254.73$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.5 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 49c | 183.05$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.79 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Under | 56c | 175$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 49c | 162.03$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.64 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 58c | 155.22$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.85 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 153$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.56 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…416abacked Under | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 49c | 112.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.48 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…48cfbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 231 | 58%134 W · 97 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 50c | 86.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Over | 48c | 67.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 50c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 50c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 63c | 50.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over | 49c | 43.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Under | 53c | 40.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4a…4fb5backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +17.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2eb…477cbacked Under | 26c | 39.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 39cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…e949backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…569fbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fb…dad8backed Over | 72c | 36.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Over | 50c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb858…7dc3backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…ca64backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 52c | 25.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…d5b0backed Over | 52c | 21.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 260 | 59.6%155 W · 105 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Wild: O/U 6.5this page
- Canadiens vs. WildWild won
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.