NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e17850b6fa8d14e58b5d56f3f190c0ee9a99eb6de4089f7a4c140d5f4f4c57a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Warriors, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,740,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,708,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,740,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 422 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Warriors | 20c | 277,889$54,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,490.33 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Warriors | 0c | 80,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Warriors | 18c | 55,555$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.84 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Warriors | 8c | 51,082$4,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,169.66 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Warriors | 19c | 44,326$8,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,422 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Timberwolves | 80c | 35,673$28,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,134.65 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9443…e5ecbacked Warriors | 15c | 32,894$5,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,062.41 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Warriors | 5c | 26,721$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.55 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…3b0cbacked Warriors | 5c | 25,043$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ee…ed7bbacked Warriors | 8c | 23,443$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.61 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Timberwolves | 80c | 20,070$15,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,114 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…12f6backed Warriors | 19c | 20,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…ce6dbacked Warriors | 19c | 20,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Warriors | 19c | 20,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.92 | 221 | 37.6%83 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Warriors | 11c | 18,870$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.29 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…3bd9backed Warriors | 17c | 17,939$3,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,094.72 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +8.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Warriors | 14c | 17,178$2,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,364.48 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Warriors | 8c | 17,000$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Warriors | 7c | 15,267$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.48 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Warriors | 12c | 14,834$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.97 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99b4…f541backed Warriors | 20c | 12,476$2,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,495.28 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…e4a7backed Warriors | 11c | 11,924$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.67 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Timberwolves | 80c | 11,140$8,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,275.75 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Warriors | 19c | 10,618$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005.31 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721f…748bbacked Warriors | 15c | 10,570$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Warriors | 19c | 10,000$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897.91 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…8b98backed Warriors | 14c | 10,000$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.39 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Warriors | 7c | 9,070$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.88 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Warriors | 6c | 8,689$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.31 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Warriors | 4c | 8,150$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.5 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Warriors | 0c | 8,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…eb70backed Warriors | 19c | 7,993$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.66 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 22cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Warriors | 19c | 7,980$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.35 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Warriors | 4c | 7,600$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.63 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Warriors | 7c | 7,520$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.7 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Warriors | 17c | 7,486$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289 | 314 | 53.5%168 W · 146 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7dd…3696backed Warriors | 6c | 6,864$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.01 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…8416backed Warriors | 18c | 6,688$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.84 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Warriors | 17c | 6,194$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.06 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked Warriors | 4c | 5,708$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa530…4280backed Warriors | 11c | 5,538$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +191.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…581abacked Warriors | 11c | 5,509$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…e288backed Warriors | 4c | 5,499$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.16 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…ab47backed Warriors | 19c | 5,086$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8aa…ae12backed Warriors | 7c | 5,080$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.34 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d5…5684backed Warriors | 5c | 5,061$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.91 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f32…3e2cbacked Warriors | 9c | 5,050$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.52 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…0bbfbacked Warriors | 19c | 5,047$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.94 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Warriors | 3c | 5,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Warriors | 20c | 5,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf619…4efebacked Warriors | 19c | 4,974$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.06 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Warriors | 18c | 4,871$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.12 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8b…4f21backed Warriors | 3c | 4,850$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.53 | 128 | 41.4%53 W · 75 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f8…b76fbacked Warriors | 13c | 4,749$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.83 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +41%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a4…83cebacked Warriors | 19c | 4,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1960…83c1backed Warriors | 1c | 4,444$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Warriors | 7c | 4,413$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…896fbacked Warriors | 4c | 4,400$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Warriors | 3c | 3,996$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.08 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Warriors | 11c | 3,969$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.23 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Timberwolves | 80c | 3,480$2,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…512bbacked Warriors | 9c | 3,456$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 219 | 35.6%78 W · 141 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Warriors | 12c | 3,382$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.16 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Warriors | 15c | 3,316$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.74 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…4a7fbacked Warriors | 19c | 3,305$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Warriors | 2c | 3,280$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 108 | 8.3%9 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd3…2a3cbacked Warriors | 6c | 3,083$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 87 | 14.9%13 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Warriors | 3c | 3,075$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x883e…31dfbacked Warriors | 20c | 3,025$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 49 | 10.2%5 W · 44 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Warriors | 7c | 3,016$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.64 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Warriors | 1c | 3,015$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Warriors | 3c | 3,000$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6105…21eebacked Warriors | 20c | 2,800$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…2067backed Warriors | 7c | 2,752$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Warriors | 8c | 2,666$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.14 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…74e9backed Warriors | 19c | 2,609$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed Warriors | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Warriors | 10c | 2,434$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.42 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed Warriors | 14c | 2,409$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.28 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8507…8a79backed Warriors | 4c | 2,404$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.66 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Timberwolves | 80c | 2,235$1,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.32 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Timberwolves | 80c | 2,222$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.4 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…b97dbacked Warriors | 17c | 2,200$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2751…1678backed Warriors | 7c | 2,054$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdc…ae37backed Warriors | 1c | 2,053$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Warriors | 1c | 2,029$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Warriors | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcb…a331backed Warriors | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf710…ecbabacked Warriors | 20c | 1,815$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +51%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6faa…61cfbacked Warriors | 2c | 1,707$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd026…1245backed Warriors | 5c | 1,700$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Warriors | 16c | 1,700$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Warriors | 6c | 1,676$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.17 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5413backed Warriors | 4c | 1,636$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Warriors | 19c | 1,579$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd32…33c4backed Warriors | 19c | 1,571$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.44 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Warriors | 3c | 1,513$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.38 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Warriors | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Warriors | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb56…012bbacked Warriors | 15c | 1,492$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Timberwolvesthis page
- Over 197.5Over won
- Over 198.5Over won
- Over 200.5Over won
- Over 201.5Over won
- Over 205.5Over won
- Over 206.5Over won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-13.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Timberwolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.