TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blues vs. Kraken

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Krakenof Blues, Kraken
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$126,273
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$128,084

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,273 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 319 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe32e…890bbacked Kraken42c27,886$11,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,269.5236242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb400…1ed9backed Kraken50c19,552$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,751.7757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Blues36c17,521$6,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,287.791,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Blues59c17,125$10,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,103.4717448.9%85 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Kraken41c12,040$4,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,103.5716645.8%76 W · 90 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Kraken64c10,000$6,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6005858.6%34 W · 24 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-15.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Blues58c9,330$5,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,408.9892848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Blues58c9,134$5,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,281.1213845.7%63 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Kraken71c6,328$4,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,806.21952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Blues42c3,686$1,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,565.223,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Blues57c2,962$1,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,686.141,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6919…5effbacked Blues58c2,586$1,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,496.763040%12 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Blues58c2,234$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,286.641,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Blues56c2,167$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.6584051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2214…5968backed Blues36c2,079$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.351154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3219…4f05backed Blues56c2,010$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.62763%17 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Blues59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18013348.1%64 W · 69 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd500…eb4fbacked Kraken44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1201346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Kraken53c1,114$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.681,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x45d7…1935backed Kraken44c1,110$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.326450%32 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Blues1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Blues61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Blues57c970.73$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.3111354%61 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Blues59c894$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.4675155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Blues61c820.49$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50027958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Blues56c811.36$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.3610546.7%49 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Blues57c758.79$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.131,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb322…2179backed Kraken42c714.29$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.293043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Blues62c691.99$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.1937254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Kraken44c688.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.4712556.8%71 W · 54 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Kraken44c676.29$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.2931753.9%171 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Blues32c615.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014844.6%66 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Blues59c593.22$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35021750.2%109 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Blues60c554.17$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.58345.8%38 W · 45 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Blues33c528.15$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.4144848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Blues58c517$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.8672847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Blues58c457.21$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.8737738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Blues56c425.71$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.46850%34 W · 34 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Blues58c406.92$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.6379251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Kraken42c400$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23242751.1%218 W · 209 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Blues34c399.99$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13619548.2%94 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa99c…3070backed Blues28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029319.8%58 W · 235 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Kraken43c339$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.5530549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Kraken43c284$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.7260741%249 W · 358 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Kraken43c278.41$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.415255.8%29 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Kraken44c249.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.126850%34 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Kraken43c236.77$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1355754.4%31 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Blues55c229.9$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.4520649.5%102 W · 104 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Blues55c222$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.150857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked Kraken45c222$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.17240.3%29 W · 43 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe08d…d5d4backed Blues58c220$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.64161%25 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ba8…61b7backed Kraken49c210$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.12733.3%9 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-23.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x62b0…029ebacked Kraken45c208.89$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.89771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+46.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8cd…844dbacked Blues58c208.31$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+31.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x75aa…58f1backed Kraken49c204.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.392544%11 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed Blues42c201$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.097644.7%34 W · 42 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-25.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Kraken49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedc2…32eebacked Kraken41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1182544%11 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x59f6…2e19backed Kraken42c178$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.241540%6 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f14…bca0backed Blues58c178$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.24137.7%1 W · 12 L-4.7wins-0.36per pick44cpaid-84.6%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Blues58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86bc…e3acbacked Kraken46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.81346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8ac…48e8backed Blues54c170$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.81163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+40.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f5c…c46abacked Blues51c169$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.191338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a1f…9f1abacked Blues55c169$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.951338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb062…2811backed Kraken49c169$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.191650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8822…73e9backed Kraken45c169$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.951566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+35.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3095…b2a6backed Kraken42c157.14$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.141283.3%10 W · 2 L+4.3wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+69.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x441d…abb6backed Kraken46c155$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.71464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f57…2ac8backed Blues54c155$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.71747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Kraken45c154.46$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.0486649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Kraken71c153.26$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9211157.7%64 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e2…721bbacked Blues58c127$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.661283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+43.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7381…5b63backed Blues58c122.41$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7160042.8%257 W · 343 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3158…e550backed Kraken67c122.33$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c7b…0f9fbacked Kraken43c120.49$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.6813100%13 W · 0 L+5.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+89.4%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xd33b…4e00backed Kraken42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0515246.7%71 W · 81 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd774…49fabacked Kraken44c117.05$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.55922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick52cpaid-57.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xceff…19ccbacked Kraken46c116$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9c6…f3c4backed Blues54c116$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74c6…7f2ebacked Kraken46c111$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba28…4cf5backed Blues54c111$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a75…eb0cbacked Blues56c108$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5962…e0f3backed Kraken44c108$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f47…0b99backed Kraken44c107.09$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.971275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+44.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaa29…fce1backed Kraken44c100.32$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cc1…764abacked Kraken45c100.05$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.43250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Blues59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5935154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5063…6b5dbacked Blues57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x155e…91d3backed Kraken45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc440…2d00backed Blues57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976e…563abacked Blues56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c07…46cfbacked Blues56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x318f…99a3backed Kraken45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0f1…e63ebacked Blues57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ef7…5683backed Kraken45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bb5…6642backed Blues57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc17a…5776backed Blues57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x927b…968bbacked Kraken45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5145…2831backed Kraken45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.