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NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Cavaliers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Pacers, Cavaliers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,346,026
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,712,902

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,346,026 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 769 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4259…936fbacked Cavaliers47c311,469$145,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145,288.388333.7%28 W · 55 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-29.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Pacers26c154,802$40,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114,508.6728341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae36…8fb5backed Cavaliers55c127,318$70,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,440.9710357.3%59 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0ad1…5d7cbacked Pacers30c121,438$35,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85,538.09922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…1dd2backed Cavaliers72c121,284$87,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87,700.166344.4%28 W · 35 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d23…aa99backed Cavaliers73c101,892$74,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,380.942147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb75…0252backed Pacers14c100,000$14,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86,000728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+77.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Pacers23c92,978$21,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,556.5616537%61 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Pacers25c76,681$18,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,805.7346426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Cavaliers73c61,116$44,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,324.6428241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Pacers25c59,835$15,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,588.8114434%49 W · 95 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Pacers23c59,396$13,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,606.757929.1%23 W · 56 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e11…9bacbacked Cavaliers75c41,968$31,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,515.342138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Pacers28c37,855$10,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,255.4135235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6790…5e06backed Pacers42c35,596$14,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,741.327335.6%26 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Pacers39c34,013$13,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,637.0336057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbbc…ea5abacked Pacers30c33,778$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,778.481838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73cb…b0d0backed Cavaliers75c33,514$25,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,135.757647.4%36 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Cavaliers66c30,472$20,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,160.818146.4%84 W · 97 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Pacers30c29,053$8,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,220.181,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Pacers23c28,348$6,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,795.666732.4%216 W · 451 L+41.8wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-3.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Cavaliers73c27,657$20,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,250.4313560.7%82 W · 53 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Cavaliers71c25,111$17,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,877.4766853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cavaliers68c21,206$14,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,391.3596447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe47c…3afabacked Pacers25c21,000$5,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,75023342.9%100 W · 133 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Cavaliers72c20,018$14,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,434.241,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Pacers27c19,343$5,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,027.8261851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6094…3bd9backed Pacers12c16,977$1,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,980.018536.5%31 W · 54 L+8.8wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+61.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Cavaliers52c16,921$8,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,875.6170640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Cavaliers41c14,933$6,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,133.511,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Cavaliers71c13,675$9,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,687.2120248%97 W · 105 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5fb…84b5backed Cavaliers74c13,397$9,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,927.981782.4%14 W · 3 L+4.3wins+0.25per pick57cpaid+74.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x363a…df44backed Pacers28c12,500$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,0004841.7%20 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Pacers23c11,601$2,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,883.237734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Pacers27c11,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,06036843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c70…232abacked Pacers27c10,920$2,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,971.795337.7%20 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa320…8232backed Pacers24c10,544$2,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,978.867261.1%44 W · 28 L+8.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+30.4%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x3f86…0fa0backed Cavaliers32c10,162$3,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,276425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Pacers27c10,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,30042827.3%117 W · 311 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b7e…ce6dbacked Pacers27c10,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,299.993644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Cavaliers69c10,000$6,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,939.6659653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e94…a463backed Cavaliers72c9,998$7,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,198.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69c6…5040backed Pacers28c9,994$2,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,195.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8fd…5cddbacked Pacers27c9,726$2,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,099.83650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+44.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Pacers37c8,537$3,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,380.3830443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pacers23c8,119$1,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,243.391,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers28c8,114$2,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,831.321,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc36…1fa0backed Pacers22c7,959$1,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,207.865950.8%30 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Pacers46c7,872$3,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,270.811,19846.8%561 W · 637 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b42…ae6ebacked Pacers25c7,857$1,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,871.1713636.8%50 W · 86 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb42d…3d11backed Pacers21c7,672$1,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,060.783636.1%13 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3375…a8d8backed Pacers26c7,670$1,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,692.892236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aca…8b98backed Pacers12c7,500$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,6003036.7%11 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Pacers28c7,211$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,210.4313239.4%52 W · 80 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Cavaliers76c7,200$5,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,47812040.8%49 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x617a…07b4backed Pacers14c7,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,040.91631.3%5 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick17cpaid+78.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbef6…f2f9backed Pacers29c7,001$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,970.712755.6%15 W · 12 L+5.0wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+25.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Pacers28c7,000$1,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,069.871,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b5…5515backed Cavaliers74c6,625$4,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,902.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Pacers28c6,607$1,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,74813133.6%44 W · 87 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Pacers23c6,235$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,825.2126431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb7b…1476backed Pacers30c5,947$1,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,149.6619145.5%87 W · 104 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4447…a0e7backed Pacers28c5,846$1,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,208.979450%47 W · 47 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9997…af3bbacked Pacers54c5,537$2,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,541.748259.8%49 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Cavaliers11c5,368$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.6525016.8%42 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1571…c4e6backed Cavaliers7c5,136$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.1119419.1%37 W · 157 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9263…1999backed Cavaliers1c5,106$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.471088.3%9 W · 99 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07cb…743cbacked Pacers34c5,013$1,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,331.255230.8%16 W · 36 L-6.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-26.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Pacers28c5,000$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,61076850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10fb…c66cbacked Pacers25c5,000$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7509747.4%46 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Pacers27c5,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,65013929.5%41 W · 98 L+0.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked Cavaliers73c5,000$3,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,650560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Cavaliers72c5,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.9479549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa78d…e8cbbacked Cavaliers1c4,990$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.452920.7%6 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick8cpaid+24.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf508…265cbacked Pacers61c4,976$3,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,928.754484.1%37 W · 7 L+9.7wins+0.22per pick62cpaid+60.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x40a5…8f04backed Cavaliers75c4,812$3,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,608.87450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid+14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cavaliers73c4,791$3,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,487.082,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Pacers14c4,610$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,985.2325536.9%94 W · 161 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Pacers30c4,534$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,159.318353%44 W · 39 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+34.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Pacers27c4,444$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,244.4431453.5%168 W · 146 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Cavaliers74c4,444$3,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,288.5616844%74 W · 94 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Cavaliers41c4,299$1,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,754.973,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Cavaliers0c4,170$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2419535.4%69 W · 126 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Cavaliers64c4,140$2,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,631.8773647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed Pacers27c4,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9202532%8 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0537…13b6backed Cavaliers74c4,000$2,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,959.922462.5%15 W · 9 L+5.4wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+68.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Cavaliers74c3,906$2,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,890.447347.9%35 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce4d…a7fabacked Cavaliers35c3,900$1,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3643641.7%15 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01a2…d77ebacked Cavaliers74c3,852$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,850.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Cavaliers74c3,795$2,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80824151.9%125 W · 116 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ce…bca1backed Pacers27c3,704$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,703.734747%163 W · 184 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e05…01cdbacked Pacers28c3,583$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,583.141942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Cavaliers74c3,449$2,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,569.1814034.3%48 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xecf7…ee71backed Pacers28c3,394$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,432.33742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x171f…95fbbacked Pacers27c3,264$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,382.771741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+98.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cce…6e85backed Pacers22c3,000$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,34522039.1%86 W · 134 L+14.0wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Pacers18c3,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,47093041.9%390 W · 540 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Cavaliers73c3,000$2,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,189.951,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Pacers24c2,864$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,176.6462351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Pacers9c2,778$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,527.7859140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.