TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Arkansas vs. Texas Tech

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Texas Techof Arkansas, Texas Tech
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,106,183
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,239,218

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,106,183 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4259…936fbacked Arkansas33c200,000$66,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66,4803641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Texas Tech67c79,692$53,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,257.353455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29bf…25b0backed Texas Tech69c59,426$40,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,458.65475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Arkansas11c55,714$5,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,969.557912.7%10 W · 69 L-13.1wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-65.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Texas Tech39c47,175$18,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,995.2610041%41 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Arkansas29c37,924$10,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,852.1310335.9%37 W · 66 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc29b…b635backed Arkansas45c36,760$16,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,553.69837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-46.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00e2…d56abacked Texas Tech66c35,118$23,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,940.014254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Arkansas43c32,079$13,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,859.542924.1%7 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1569…4e0cbacked Arkansas60c27,896$16,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,681.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Texas Tech66c26,600$17,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,9972770.4%19 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Texas Tech38c26,000$9,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,12041554.2%225 W · 190 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Arkansas35c19,592$6,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,863.215527.3%15 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Texas Tech67c17,874$11,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,886.077936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Texas Tech65c12,600$8,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,41053057.4%304 W · 226 L+33.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Arkansas47c10,759$5,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,029.411,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe932…0f05backed Texas Tech61c8,751$5,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,419.523046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Texas Tech56c8,462$4,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,753.95054%27 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5ef4…412cbacked Arkansas34c8,121$2,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,761.232222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Arkansas50c7,463$3,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,752.814134.1%14 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-40.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1872…ae0fbacked Arkansas51c6,940$3,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,539.4425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6d9…2d2ebacked Texas Tech55c6,668$3,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,000.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Texas Tech68c6,000$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9004761.7%29 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed Arkansas1c5,887$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.391811.1%2 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick6cpaid+97.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49d0…8503backed Texas Tech17c5,881$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,855.64242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+151.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1752…7993backed Texas Tech20c5,865$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,692.061136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick20cpaid+127.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c70…232abacked Arkansas33c5,455$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…fc02backed Texas Tech67c5,334$3,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,760.213351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Arkansas0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10822.4%2 W · 80 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-88.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Arkansas32c4,800$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.7142948.5%208 W · 221 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Texas Tech52c4,560$2,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,211.339641.7%40 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Texas Tech67c4,320$2,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,412.649833.7%33 W · 65 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-28.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x19b8…612abacked Texas Tech69c4,042$2,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.31933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-48.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Texas Tech67c3,013$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.4813936.7%51 W · 88 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…e019backed Arkansas73c3,010$2,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,211.711070%7 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick71cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Texas Tech43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7108356.6%47 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f79…1608backed Texas Tech69c3,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9301450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Texas Tech65c2,886$1,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.61,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ef9…35cfbacked Arkansas44c2,666$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,164.923036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-42.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked Texas Tech7c2,648$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,462.39837.5%3 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.27per pick10cpaid+339.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Texas Tech61c2,566$1,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.61338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-35.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Texas Tech30c2,507$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,758.711,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c05…36b3backed Arkansas79c2,290$1,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,814.531931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-40.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Texas Tech53c2,111$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.724632.6%15 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Arkansas37c2,079$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.2655657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ac9…9678backed Arkansas32c2,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6401225%3 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Texas Tech56c2,000$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.639144.5%174 W · 217 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Texas Tech68c1,973$1,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.421560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2b1…7d2abacked Arkansas68c1,960$1,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,326.91926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.3wins-0.23per pick49cpaid-52.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Texas Tech53c1,890$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.293,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa22b…3525backed Texas Tech27c1,821$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.07425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Texas Tech66c1,816$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.56440.6%26 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e14…3003backed Texas Tech16c1,615$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.954932.7%16 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-27.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae00…f7b0backed Arkansas63c1,587$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Arkansas35c1,541$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.782927.6%8 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Texas Tech66c1,489$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.238151.9%42 W · 39 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Texas Tech69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.282676.9%20 W · 6 L+5.2wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+41.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9772…8e49backed Texas Tech69c1,444$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa14b…b944backed Arkansas33c1,273$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4203943.6%17 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eaf…e782backed Texas Tech43c1,176$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…21debacked Arkansas32c1,094$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Texas Tech68c1,078$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.9615851.9%82 W · 76 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3510…2492backed Arkansas3c1,040$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-79.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Arkansas60c1,030$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Texas Tech69c1,007$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.083652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b8e…66bfbacked Arkansas62c1,006$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.48944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Texas Tech67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3301283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa112…d215backed Texas Tech68c999.6$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.873100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Arkansas33c984.67$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.9416445.1%74 W · 90 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37b…3802backed Arkansas32c937.5$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001650%8 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+60.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bf7…7894backed Texas Tech68c869.12$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.122100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3318…ea60backed Arkansas32c869.12$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Texas Tech56c861.42$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.59887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.32per pick55cpaid+61.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6f82…d6abbacked Texas Tech23c854.91$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+91.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Texas Tech28c826.15$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.4110236.3%37 W · 65 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Texas Tech39c769.23$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.234520%9 W · 36 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-50.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Arkansas32c762.12$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24619238.5%74 W · 118 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd68e…f46bbacked Texas Tech68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.29633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick21cpaid-39.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0317…6289backed Arkansas33c716.76$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.532040%8 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Arkansas32c700$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2242657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Texas Tech49c689.86$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.3712435.5%44 W · 80 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x698f…ae41backed Texas Tech18c675$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.52222.7%5 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc80…2bc1backed Texas Tech46c650$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.54932.7%16 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+56%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Arkansas32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002564%16 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26f8…64a1backed Arkansas32c621.21$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-68.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Texas Tech69c579.71$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.713658.3%21 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c84…bacabacked Arkansas59c575$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Texas Tech66c533.08$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.2516842.3%71 W · 97 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82ee…d8e2backed Arkansas33c516.76$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.231040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-45.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Arkansas40c512.28$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.911735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-48.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ac…08d5backed Texas Tech42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2901040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96c6…34a2backed Texas Tech69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1554450%22 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+43.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a38…438cbacked Arkansas33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x649c…6e4fbacked Texas Tech24c499.39$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Arkansas41c493.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004052.5%21 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f89…0d03backed Texas Tech42c480.94$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.941250%6 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14a2…e231backed Texas Tech68c467.35$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.55966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd248…daffbacked Texas Tech69c414.04$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Texas Tech67c376.88$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.374542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6929…0e4bbacked Texas Tech46c350.22$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.35450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.