Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac3e76c1b50180bfd2fe992411092d4d187635a35c1ce6d849f74b046d29aa8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $330,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $268,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $330,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 2c | 56,646$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.84 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87a9…2362backed No | 0c | 48,390$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 1c | 7,154$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 90 | 5.6%5 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…ef5fbacked No | 2c | 5,500$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7f…7ab2backed No | 1c | 5,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 2c | 4,226$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb791…951cbacked No | 4c | 4,165$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…1472backed No | 2c | 4,138$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.54 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1479…4361backed No | 4c | 3,738$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2397…a56cbacked No | 1c | 3,523$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 5c | 3,466$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.07 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked No | 13c | 3,385$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.52 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c81…c62dbacked No | 1c | 3,315$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 7c | 2,854$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.8 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 11c | 2,853$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.66 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee56…bba5backed No | 1c | 2,778$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf75b…672ebacked No | 2c | 2,589$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…968ebacked No | 3c | 2,421$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5043…357ebacked No | 1c | 2,330$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0753…25b2backed No | 1c | 2,301$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 5c | 2,300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.7 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked No | 1c | 2,243$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed No | 1c | 2,100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5e86backed No | 1c | 2,084$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79e5…dcc9backed No | 6c | 1,990$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.8 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…6435backed No | 6c | 1,976$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68da…ee52backed No | 2c | 1,865$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 12cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9421…8747backed No | 1c | 1,810$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed No | 13c | 1,672$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.76 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +14.4wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xabca…cfd1backed No | 44c | 1,591$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…4adbbacked No | 20c | 1,535$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…d154backed No | 9c | 1,525$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebd…2882backed No | 8c | 1,525$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x509e…63edbacked No | 6c | 1,464$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfe…5e2fbacked No | 4c | 1,450$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 4c | 1,400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…a81bbacked No | 9c | 1,347$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.23 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…ddf4backed No | 1c | 1,333$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebb7…efebbacked No | 1c | 1,328$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e8…14f0backed No | 7c | 1,318$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.95 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…bb27backed No | 2c | 1,260$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec2a…81c1backed No | 8c | 1,258$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 12c | 1,248$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.72 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fea…d383backed No | 3c | 1,200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x527f…2ae6backed No | 4c | 1,026$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…a6bcbacked No | 2c | 1,023$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc45…e0eabacked No | 3c | 1,021$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 4c | 1,003$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2b43…aef6backed No | 2c | 1,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…a196backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…e3e1backed No | 6c | 898.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b60…09cabacked No | 3c | 864.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x356a…4d34backed No | 8c | 859.19$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ce…cb62backed No | 6c | 853.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed No | 15c | 850.4$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.99 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 2c | 810.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Yes | 77c | 784.07$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd9…619ebacked No | 15c | 709.28$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 53c | 704.34$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.31 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd182…8921backed No | 8c | 698.11$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 7c | 660.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c7…a3dfbacked No | 41c | 659.32$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed No | 6c | 637.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf215…9114backed No | 16c | 636.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9f…c17cbacked Yes | 61c | 621.06$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked Yes | 72c | 614.68$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.32 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 41cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x092f…18acbacked No | 8c | 610.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6264…9937backed Yes | 77c | 603$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.04 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9d…446dbacked No | 2c | 596.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5347…8493backed No | 2c | 588.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4503…7aaabacked Yes | 78c | 583.44$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked No | 51c | 559.61$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f8…918bbacked No | 3c | 541.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed No | 35c | 520$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.8 | 108 | 12%13 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f72…9a74backed No | 4c | 509.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa70f…993dbacked No | 22c | 506.15$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…c44bbacked No | 10c | 499.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +195.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 18c | 481.17$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.56 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed No | 2c | 477$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…a28ebacked No | 2c | 455$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…0978backed No | 4c | 450$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…b251backed No | 27c | 445.37$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c4…b8dcbacked No | 23c | 443.92$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…ef50backed No | 12c | 422.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe10b…5fe3backed No | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Yes | 74c | 399.99$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…2f18backed Yes | 79c | 380.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.07 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…c003backed Yes | 75c | 372.34$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0623…35dbbacked No | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ff…9f4abacked No | 6c | 331.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5890…1a49backed No | 6c | 312.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…fd40backed No | 6c | 310.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b62…53bcbacked Yes | 68c | 308.26$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…55ffbacked Yes | 75c | 302.2$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.91 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -59%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…e61bbacked No | 6c | 300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd295…a832backed No | 10c | 299.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…2112backed Yes | 63c | 297.35$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 10c | 288$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48c4…7e92backed No | 3c | 287.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.