NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Canadiens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x748a52859e38f88dd8da972ab59ced9579f2ab17f574a6a808fbf92411b7d11a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadiensof Capitals, Canadiens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $154,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,497
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 848 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Capitals | 54c | 19,600$10,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,537.25 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Canadiens | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 47c | 8,642$4,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,537.42 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Capitals | 52c | 6,166$3,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,206.36 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Capitals | 51c | 4,017$2,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,048.41 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…2485backed Capitals | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb63d…9dd6backed Canadiens | 48c | 3,978$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,068.56 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.0wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Capitals | 52c | 3,660$1,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.68 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Canadiens | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Canadiens | 47c | 2,546$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.38 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Canadiens | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.98 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Capitals | 52c | 2,491$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.4 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Canadiens | 65c | 2,192$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.47 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Canadiens | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Canadiens | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.96 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Capitals | 54c | 1,856$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Canadiens | 47c | 1,721$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.06 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a23…4e9fbacked Canadiens | 47c | 1,695$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.56 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +5.4wins | +0.38per pick | 47cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Canadiens | 46c | 1,673$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.27 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Canadiens | 46c | 1,609$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.44 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Capitals | 54c | 1,548$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Capitals | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Canadiens | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Capitals | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.98 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4727…aa86backed Canadiens | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Canadiens | 57c | 1,487$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.27 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Capitals | 19c | 1,465$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.75 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Canadiens | 47c | 1,456$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.54 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens | 37c | 1,312$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.59 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Capitals | 66c | 1,310$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Canadiens | 49c | 1,296$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.96 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…48a9backed Canadiens | 53c | 1,166$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.28 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…39a1backed Capitals | 51c | 1,141$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.02 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Capitals | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Capitals | 70c | 1,100$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Capitals | 52c | 1,100$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.98 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…4350backed Capitals | 52c | 1,048$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…49a2backed Capitals | 53c | 1,006$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.4 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc030…7372backed Canadiens | 47c | 1,006$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab8…6b48backed Capitals | 52c | 1,003$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Capitals | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…9d0ebacked Canadiens | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Capitals | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Capitals | 52c | 999.97$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.98 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…560fbacked Canadiens | 41c | 983.43$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.43 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Canadiens | 47c | 916$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.67 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…b991backed Canadiens | 72c | 898.68$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4874…7123backed Capitals | 53c | 892.43$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.99 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3d…4ab1backed Canadiens | 47c | 892.43$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7425…c079backed Capitals | 53c | 890.55$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.99 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea11…551abacked Canadiens | 47c | 890.55$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.99 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 47cpaid | -59%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Canadiens | 72c | 887.98$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.63 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Capitals | 53c | 886.79$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…7a01backed Canadiens | 47c | 858.46$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1c…2b46backed Capitals | 53c | 856.6$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e37…160fbacked Canadiens | 48c | 809.93$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.16 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c0…32f4backed Capitals | 52c | 802.36$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Capitals | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Capitals | 51c | 799.88$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.94 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Capitals | 59c | 788.31$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.28 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba0…cee3backed Canadiens | 48c | 747.63$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.77 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5091…23e9backed Capitals | 53c | 700$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Capitals | 53c | 645$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.85 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac9f…88d6backed Canadiens | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +75%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Capitals | 29c | 580.1$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.23 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -25%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Capitals | 52c | 577.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.14 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Canadiens | 47c | 569.97$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.08 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Canadiens | 48c | 520$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 427 | 51.1%218 W · 209 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Capitals | 54c | 509.62$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.01 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Capitals | 52c | 500$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a2…8466backed Capitals | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Canadiens | 47c | 460$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Canadiens | 48c | 449$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.48 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Canadiens | 47c | 411.93$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.32 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Capitals | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c7…1db7backed Canadiens | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Capitals | 52c | 399.98$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.99 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Canadiens | 50c | 389$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.5 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Capitals | 52c | 332.96$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.26 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…f8c4backed Canadiens | 49c | 326.53$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.53 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +7.7wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x35c5…e14bbacked Canadiens | 38c | 320$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.4 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5945…98b0backed Capitals | 53c | 316.98$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Capitals | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8570…52b5backed Capitals | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Canadiens | 48c | 262.98$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.75 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Canadiens | 46c | 259$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.09 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d1…553ebacked Capitals | 53c | 235$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…948bbacked Canadiens | 48c | 234.95$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc970…a19bbacked Canadiens | 35c | 231.51$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.51 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe021…e299backed Capitals | 53c | 229.25$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19be…2541backed Canadiens | 48c | 229.17$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4870…85f7backed Capitals | 53c | 225.3$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7792…b63bbacked Canadiens | 48c | 225$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…e17dbacked Canadiens | 49c | 225$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7af8…ee1ebacked Capitals | 52c | 225$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7608…214ebacked Canadiens | 49c | 224.49$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4570…ebbcbacked Capitals | 52c | 224.04$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Canadiens | 67c | 223.42$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.58 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…0646backed Capitals | 45c | 222.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d9…0136backed Canadiens | 48c | 216.59$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.