NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56545bfbe0c11cfbcf8a7e329395091348c60c30bb006161eccded2964375e69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Oilers, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $180,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $187,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 827 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb400…1ed9backed Ducks | 78c | 19,598$15,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,339.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Oilers | 47c | 13,693$6,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,463.75 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…db97backed Ducks | 44c | 11,364$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,363.64 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Oilers | 22c | 8,537$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.47 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Oilers | 56c | 7,774$4,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,352.58 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Ducks | 45c | 4,365$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,418.18 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Oilers | 28c | 3,900$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Ducks | 42c | 3,801$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.47 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Ducks | 43c | 3,778$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,153.63 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…48a9backed Oilers | 2c | 3,743$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.03 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…903dbacked Oilers | 58c | 3,525$2,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa08f…87f3backed Ducks | 42c | 3,525$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Oilers | 58c | 3,492$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.75 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d47…b10cbacked Ducks | 42c | 3,450$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817f…9802backed Oilers | 58c | 3,450$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Ducks | 43c | 3,329$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,897.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d6…c0f4backed Oilers | 57c | 3,209$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.18 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa068…9574backed Oilers | 41c | 2,657$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.63 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Oilers | 28c | 2,502$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.14 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Oilers | 56c | 2,495$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.72 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Oilers | 75c | 2,430$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,822.86 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Oilers | 1c | 2,086$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Oilers | 70c | 2,035$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.82 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…1715backed Oilers | 57c | 2,030$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.09 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…56d0backed Ducks | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e8…b663backed Ducks | 42c | 1,900$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd046…e564backed Oilers | 58c | 1,900$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Oilers | 7c | 1,853$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.71 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Ducks | 46c | 1,831$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.48 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Oilers | 56c | 1,756$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.46 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…8f37backed Ducks | 42c | 1,729$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.7 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3097…a2cabacked Oilers | 58c | 1,726$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.08 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42d9…0293backed Ducks | 43c | 1,668$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…9f1dbacked Ducks | 43c | 1,395$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Oilers | 3c | 1,311$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Oilers | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Oilers | 14c | 1,200$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Ducks | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…424cbacked Oilers | 58c | 1,079$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.66 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dad…72cfbacked Ducks | 43c | 1,078$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.7 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Oilers | 57c | 1,046$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.47 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…9c6abacked Oilers | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Oilers | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Oilers | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Oilers | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6b…3fc9backed Oilers | 58c | 900$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a38…438cbacked Ducks | 43c | 800$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +56%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Oilers | 57c | 750.14$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.58 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Oilers | 56c | 735.52$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.89 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Oilers | 49c | 700$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Ducks | 45c | 699.22$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.57 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Oilers | 57c | 600.01$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.01 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Oilers | 56c | 588.66$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.65 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Ducks | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.18 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Ducks | 43c | 557.81$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.95 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Oilers | 57c | 536$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.52 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…2cfebacked Ducks | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fa4bbacked Oilers | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c5…9772backed Ducks | 42c | 488$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.04 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6143…c6dabacked Oilers | 58c | 488$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…fc9abacked Ducks | 43c | 480$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c4…2f6cbacked Oilers | 57c | 480$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Ducks | 29c | 456.93$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.67 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Ducks | 37c | 419.44$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.44 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e64…5686backed Oilers | 59c | 416.95$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Oilers | 5c | 413.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5461…d939backed Ducks | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Oilers | 56c | 388$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.28 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6369…feb1backed Oilers | 59c | 383.05$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9adc…e80dbacked Oilers | 58c | 355.17$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3015…ac6fbacked Ducks | 43c | 355.12$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.42 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Oilers | 11c | 353.42$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Oilers | 62c | 350$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Oilers | 58c | 332.99$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.14 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Oilers | 19c | 329.93$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce02…f887backed Ducks | 43c | 324.4$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.91 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Ducks | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Ducks | 42c | 289$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.3 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Oilers | 4c | 281.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Oilers | 73c | 253.46$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.87 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -25%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8645…09ccbacked Oilers | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d25…9462backed Ducks | 43c | 244.19$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Oilers | 54c | 242.92$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.84 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Ducks | 42c | 240$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd8…2cf0backed Ducks | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Oilers | 47c | 213.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Oilers | 21c | 200.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc234…74b2backed Ducks | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2cd…fb96backed Oilers | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…7e2fbacked Oilers | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…fdb3backed Ducks | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe920…7289backed Ducks | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…0932backed Ducks | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb709…3b5cbacked Ducks | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bad…4f8dbacked Oilers | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…384ebacked Ducks | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…e8bdbacked Oilers | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…09f0backed Ducks | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb086…bfb4backed Oilers | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…1a93backed Oilers | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.