NHL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedae951c09d668a6835480fddb9774a96062827d35816f5af292e56a7e8eef5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panthersof Panthers, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $216,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $221,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $216,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 368 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a51…66e5backed Lightning | 53c | 48,000$25,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,440 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8274…335bbacked Panthers | 47c | 40,200$18,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,306 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Panthers | 47c | 34,442$16,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,254.07 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Panthers | 47c | 28,717$13,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,149.9 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…caefbacked Lightning | 52c | 20,000$10,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,488.27 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Lightning | 46c | 13,190$6,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,089.62 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lightning | 44c | 9,458$4,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,184.94 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Panthers | 46c | 8,546$3,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,614.62 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…2485backed Lightning | 53c | 8,022$4,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,226.63 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Lightning | 53c | 8,004$4,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,242.18 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb63d…9dd6backed Panthers | 47c | 7,995$3,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,212.4 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.0wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8096…f6a4backed Panthers | 47c | 7,800$3,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,134 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Panthers | 47c | 7,181$3,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,789.71 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Lightning | 54c | 5,571$2,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,994.97 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Lightning | 43c | 4,078$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.13 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Panthers | 47c | 4,040$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,141.2 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Lightning | 48c | 4,037$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.18 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Lightning | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.98 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Lightning | 53c | 3,500$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855.25 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Lightning | 48c | 3,158$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lightning | 52c | 3,101$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.95 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…ce6dbacked Lightning | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.36per pick | 48cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Lightning | 53c | 2,800$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…560fbacked Lightning | 51c | 2,367$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Lightning | 52c | 2,267$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.82 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x530f…8714backed Lightning | 53c | 2,075$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Lightning | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffec…7a8bbacked Lightning | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +45%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4727…aa86backed Lightning | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Panthers | 68c | 1,950$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.47 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Panthers | 50c | 1,806$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.46 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Lightning | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Lightning | 51c | 1,593$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.98 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bf…baecbacked Lightning | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lightning | 18c | 1,459$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.27 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Lightning | 53c | 1,365$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.72 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…c024backed Lightning | 53c | 1,321$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.01 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Lightning | 52c | 1,316$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.53 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Panthers | 77c | 1,035$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.62 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Lightning | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Panthers | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Panthers | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Lightning | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Panthers | 46c | 999.92$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.96 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…48a9backed Panthers | 49c | 963$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.35 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Lightning | 54c | 942.59$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lightning | 18c | 915.23$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.98 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lightning | 50c | 896.82$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.43 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Lightning | 15c | 812.73$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.45 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f24…f47bbacked Lightning | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Panthers | 47c | 740$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.2 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Lightning | 52c | 700$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.75 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Lightning | 49c | 698.15$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.33 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Lightning | 50c | 666$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.11 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Lightning | 12c | 643.56$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.33 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9614…5247backed Panthers | 47c | 627.8$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.73 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Lightning | 53c | 624.08$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.64 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Lightning | 19c | 614.45$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.96 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Panthers | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c47…45b6backed Panthers | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…39a1backed Panthers | 47c | 582.03$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.48 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6db3…3772backed Panthers | 47c | 571.73$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe340…e7b6backed Panthers | 48c | 536.44$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.95 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…8447backed Lightning | 53c | 535.98$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.07 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +6.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +47%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Panthers | 46c | 492.87$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.73 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3325…cae0backed Lightning | 54c | 466.67$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Panthers | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Lightning | 54c | 452.26$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.22 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e59…3d75backed Panthers | 47c | 417.02$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Lightning | 38c | 407.89$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 88 | 70.5%62 W · 26 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Panthers | 68c | 399.15$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.15 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d6…3a8dbacked Panthers | 47c | 382.98$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Panthers | 46c | 373.66$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.78 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b37…263bbacked Lightning | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Lightning | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Lightning | 52c | 350$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab32…ae40backed Lightning | 54c | 333.33$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Panthers | 68c | 327$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Lightning | 13c | 323.08$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Panthers | 47c | 321.59$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.44 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +7.5wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…32eebacked Lightning | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…581abacked Panthers | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…64adbacked Lightning | 53c | 281.87$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.39 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x553e…3142backed Panthers | 47c | 265.84$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.04 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Panthers | 48c | 250.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.47 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbea2…41f2backed Lightning | 54c | 229.63$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fac…4eebbacked Panthers | 47c | 217.02$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7863…1cd3backed Panthers | 47c | 214.89$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2360…057ebacked Panthers | 47c | 210.64$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Lightning | 46c | 192.59$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5018backed Panthers | 47c | 187.23$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Lightning | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Lightning | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…2cc4backed Lightning | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 41cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…b5cbbacked Lightning | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad97…1876backed Panthers | 47c | 180.85$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Lightning | 29c | 169.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46eb…e2a5backed Lightning | 52c | 167.3$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb731…00dcbacked Panthers | 47c | 165.33$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.92 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3256backed Lightning | 53c | 162.26$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.