NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcaed798c81f533dae1223d6d74c79af08022f1d5a480081ac5ad5715e7d78ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flamesof Golden Knights, Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $296,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $304,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $296,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Flames | 50c | 95,746$47,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,254.97 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Golden Knights | 49c | 55,512$27,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,130.56 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa068…9574backed Flames | 39c | 14,393$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,793.19 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Golden Knights | 51c | 12,935$6,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,626.37 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Golden Knights | 49c | 11,022$5,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,375.76 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Flames | 26c | 7,758$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,779.71 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Golden Knights | 50c | 6,926$3,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,463.11 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Golden Knights | 54c | 6,527$3,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,515.97 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Flames | 53c | 6,480$3,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,027.87 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Golden Knights | 52c | 6,129$3,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,163.81 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Golden Knights | 74c | 6,038$4,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,496.33 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Golden Knights | 50c | 5,837$2,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,918.72 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Golden Knights | 51c | 5,510$2,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,792.39 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…6591backed Flames | 55c | 5,451$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,452.82 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Flames | 55c | 5,353$2,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,426.31 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Golden Knights | 50c | 5,031$2,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,515.37 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Flames | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Golden Knights | 49c | 4,132$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,027.32 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Golden Knights | 53c | 4,000$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Golden Knights | 50c | 3,868$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.22 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf656…07eabacked Golden Knights | 49c | 3,803$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,863.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Golden Knights | 54c | 3,410$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.13 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Golden Knights | 46c | 3,238$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.1 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Golden Knights | 48c | 3,233$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.84 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Flames | 52c | 3,213$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.24 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Flames | 51c | 2,985$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.65 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Golden Knights | 49c | 2,829$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.93 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Flames | 50c | 2,780$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.44 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10cb…e94bbacked Flames | 51c | 2,303$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Golden Knights | 54c | 2,222$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Flames | 20c | 2,047$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…0e96backed Flames | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…106abacked Golden Knights | 49c | 1,998$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.02 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Golden Knights | 50c | 1,820$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.65 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fa4bbacked Golden Knights | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e52…d01ebacked Flames | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Golden Knights | 51c | 1,485$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.49 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Golden Knights | 49c | 1,468$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.12 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Golden Knights | 61c | 1,230$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.01 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Flames | 36c | 1,157$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.86 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Golden Knights | 52c | 1,100$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Golden Knights | 52c | 1,000$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Golden Knights | 48c | 919.98$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.59 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Golden Knights | 55c | 916.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Golden Knights | 52c | 861.29$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.45 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed0…77f7backed Golden Knights | 48c | 839.76$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.09 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Golden Knights | 51c | 838.09$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.34 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe20…4d3ebacked Flames | 51c | 830.26$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Flames | 50c | 792.59$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.59 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Flames | 50c | 770.05$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.99 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Golden Knights | 49c | 700$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Flames | 48c | 556.4$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.44 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Golden Knights | 48c | 516.55$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.94 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Golden Knights | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Flames | 49c | 502.38$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.76 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0317…6289backed Golden Knights | 52c | 488.41$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.24 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Golden Knights | 50c | 468.11$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.59 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Flames | 50c | 450$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c4…a40abacked Flames | 52c | 413.44$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.45 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Flames | 48c | 405.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.11 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Flames | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Flames | 15c | 393.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.75 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Flames | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Golden Knights | 50c | 384.87$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.44 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Flames | 50c | 342$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.16 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Golden Knights | 51c | 305$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.06 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Golden Knights | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…f2afbacked Golden Knights | 51c | 293.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.71 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Flames | 39c | 292.77$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.77 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb322…2179backed Golden Knights | 51c | 258.82$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb4…e810backed Flames | 44c | 235.64$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.31 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Flames | 49c | 232.12$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.99 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x172b…e2cdbacked Golden Knights | 64c | 215.63$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Flames | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bb…fc2abacked Flames | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Golden Knights | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Flames | 54c | 185.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.74 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…0426backed Flames | 51c | 181$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.69 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…6c73backed Golden Knights | 49c | 181$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.69 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…90c1backed Golden Knights | 49c | 180$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4f…894abacked Flames | 51c | 180$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62b1…dd65backed Flames | 51c | 179$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.71 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03a7…2710backed Golden Knights | 49c | 179$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.71 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Golden Knights | 51c | 165.28$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.62 | 284 | 40.1%114 W · 170 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Flames | 38c | 161.71$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.93 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…32eebacked Golden Knights | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x038d…d484backed Flames | 51c | 146.92$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Golden Knights | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0e…aa48backed Golden Knights | 51c | 116$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6729…4749backed Flames | 49c | 116$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…40d2backed Flames | 50c | 108.26$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…1308backed Golden Knights | 49c | 105.61$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…6eacbacked Golden Knights | 50c | 105.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.69 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d49…8c83backed Flames | 51c | 105.2$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.55 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10a0…3aecbacked Golden Knights | 50c | 104.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Flames | 47c | 103.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.85 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7f…e57dbacked Golden Knights | 49c | 101.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.40per pick | 50cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4246…4519backed Flames | 52c | 101.62$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.78 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Golden Knights | 51c | 101$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.01 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb45…087cbacked Flames | 52c | 100.02$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.01 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.