Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on March 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16c77da8a819314d2c259621825e8c25c6f19dac70c8976588b95a33af9532e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde72…c1debacked No | 68c | 720$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +101.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 13c | 610.48$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.09 | 84 | 10.7%9 W · 75 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaec…8dc8backed Yes | 31c | 609.78$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.19 | 493 | 38.9%192 W · 301 L | +49.3wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0de4…2d29backed Yes | 42c | 564$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.32 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…af32backed No | 27c | 445$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622f…e730backed Yes | 24c | 424.85$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.3 | 186 | 40.3%75 W · 111 L | +20.1wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…c0a5backed No | 56c | 400$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 247 | 10.9%27 W · 220 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e98…0009backed No | 73c | 365$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb94d…4402backed Yes | 27c | 360$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…5916backed Yes | 32c | 285$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5845…1c4ebacked Yes | 73c | 275$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc40f…88fcbacked Yes | 65c | 263.95$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.99 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84e7…9acdbacked Yes | 31c | 250$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb962…6985backed No | 27c | 240$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb8…a9d1backed Yes | 32c | 240$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 49c | 229.55$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c56…7a5fbacked Yes | 27c | 217$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +155.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe151…d3c4backed No | 68c | 205$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9469…6d18backed Yes | 70c | 199.17$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.17 | 959 | 42.4%407 W · 552 L | +84.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d06…d484backed Yes | 32c | 165$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…90fdbacked Yes | 32c | 160$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c87…64f8backed No | 27c | 160$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64fc…6815backed No | 68c | 155$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0641…1985backed No | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 63 | 1.6%1 W · 62 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 9cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb134…3e8abacked Yes | 32c | 135$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x957c…dc88backed Yes | 73c | 135$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7716…316abacked No | 68c | 130$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e92…77d2backed Yes | 31c | 130$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…8ba2backed No | 73c | 130$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bee5backed Yes | 73c | 130$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…918fbacked No | 73c | 130$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb638…2842backed Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45ba…e172backed Yes | 32c | 120$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa793…e8babacked Yes | 32c | 115$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 27c | 112.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.24 | 95 | 23.2%22 W · 73 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ad…7a9bbacked Yes | 31c | 110$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +353.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x014e…61aabacked Yes | 27c | 105$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +156.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0713…a21bbacked Yes | 32c | 105$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…517ebacked Yes | 33c | 100.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.09 | 1,643 | 27.8%456 W · 1,187 L | +117.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 849 | 30.6%260 W · 589 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0f…7b8abacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…f57dbacked No | 64c | 95.39$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.51 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c2…3888backed No | 69c | 90$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4540…d61abacked Yes | 73c | 90$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700b…db88backed Yes | 73c | 90$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf86d…ac82backed No | 58c | 86.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80c9…118bbacked No | 68c | 85$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…c074backed Yes | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…cb9cbacked No | 68c | 80$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb182…005fbacked Yes | 34c | 73.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.37 | 600 | 33.8%203 W · 397 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2563…f528backed No | 73c | 70$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081b…dac7backed Yes | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc1…ba14backed No | 70c | 66.86$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.83 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaecc…1f6ebacked No | 73c | 65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…47e9backed No | 69c | 65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…a4b9backed Yes | 32c | 65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd2…f20ebacked No | 73c | 65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 29c | 61.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.91 | 382 | 43.2%165 W · 217 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6072…fb46backed Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3674…faedbacked No | 73c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b2…cb39backed Yes | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8660…fad0backed Yes | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb7…01f3backed Yes | 32c | 55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x886d…8b31backed No | 27c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e6…2cc5backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 205 | 56.1%115 W · 90 L | +25.5wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4acb…9323backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c0…c408backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5b…35e8backed Yes | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eaa…753ebacked Yes | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c9…74f1backed Yes | 26c | 49.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ec…6491backed No | 55c | 49.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 31c | 45.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +19.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…3cddbacked No | 27c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd2…a46fbacked No | 68c | 45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8803…eb1dbacked No | 69c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 68 | 67.6%46 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeac…bd3cbacked Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…5fd4backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f35…81abbacked No | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78b6…5bcebacked Yes | 33c | 38.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8e…0824backed No | 68c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecd…0486backed Yes | 73c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197e…0c86backed No | 73c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…fbe9backed No | 69c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ca…8617backed No | 68c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…fb43backed Yes | 32c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +234.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…d5e8backed No | 68c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fd…3581backed No | 69c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7b…a692backed No | 68c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 53c | 34.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e23…ac50backed Yes | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…763fbacked No | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd33…f625backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…8235backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db4…d97fbacked Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95bc…70eebacked Yes | 59c | 28.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 43c | 25.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 321 | 33.3%107 W · 214 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4128…5165backed No | 69c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…1bffbacked No | 68c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd79c…bba0backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on March 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 61°F or higher on March 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 51-52°F on March 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 53-54°F on March 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on March 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on March 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.