Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 47-48°F on March 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7413c29d715ab796d23f8b5ef657fbaeb8b8e6fa8030ac0dc284481c9e5ca32b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,009
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,009 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb134…3e8abacked No | 64c | 490$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf304…40fabacked Yes | 37c | 395$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…e8c0backed Yes | 37c | 340$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +328.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50c2…6d37backed Yes | 27c | 290$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb993…ebb4backed Yes | 27c | 250$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb182…005fbacked Yes | 57c | 215.75$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.87 | 600 | 33.8%203 W · 397 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c84…9296backed No | 63c | 210$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc8…6d54backed No | 73c | 180$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbc…1054backed Yes | 36c | 175$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +132.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3f…4a6ebacked Yes | 36c | 175$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59bb…e0c4backed Yes | 36c | 170$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…90fdbacked No | 64c | 165$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 23c | 162.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 57 | 7%4 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb31…916dbacked No | 64c | 160$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec1…a97abacked Yes | 27c | 155$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +151%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c0…c408backed No | 63c | 150$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ad…7a9bbacked No | 73c | 145$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +353.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6037…1e45backed No | 63c | 140$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe209…536dbacked No | 73c | 140$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1225…3a54backed No | 63c | 135$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +355.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c1…8995backed Yes | 37c | 130$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 28cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e0…b1b4backed Yes | 37c | 125$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…5fd4backed Yes | 77c | 120$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5b…35e8backed No | 73c | 105$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ba…8581backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a3…9151backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b00…af67backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 31c | 98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 95 | 23.2%22 W · 73 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…0e7abacked Yes | 36c | 95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…feecbacked Yes | 27c | 90$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…0338backed Yes | 36c | 90$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf470…62d2backed Yes | 60c | 86.46$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa12d…0e75backed Yes | 37c | 85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bb…4414backed No | 73c | 85$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 26c | 84.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…f57dbacked No | 23c | 81.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…517ebacked Yes | 37c | 81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.18 | 1,643 | 27.8%456 W · 1,187 L | +117.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c10…3edcbacked No | 73c | 80$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7695…4cd7backed Yes | 27c | 80$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7beb…7f6bbacked No | 63c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ca…e168backed No | 63c | 75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…6395backed No | 63c | 75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 15c | 73.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Yes | 37c | 70$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…34acbacked Yes | 37c | 70$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +118.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2563…f528backed Yes | 37c | 65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…9d46backed No | 63c | 65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8803…eb1dbacked No | 73c | 64.23$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 68 | 67.6%46 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe91b…3334backed No | 63c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd933…9e40backed No | 73c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…b9c0backed No | 73c | 55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081b…dac7backed Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e4…d007backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…45c5backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0a…3645backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x731d…3ee3backed No | 63c | 45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b03…6334backed Yes | 37c | 45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6801…8b48backed Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…8af6backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x262c…5f3bbacked No | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78b6…5bcebacked Yes | 61c | 37.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b8…9104backed No | 63c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a9…60e8backed Yes | 37c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab7…15a7backed Yes | 36c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…7f60backed Yes | 37c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70d0…d2abbacked No | 63c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaae8…ec24backed No | 64c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae1…e24bbacked No | 63c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…7220backed No | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2af…e23ebacked No | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6072…fb46backed No | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x159a…bc5ebacked No | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x175a…fdffbacked No | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb05…8f47backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe63b…3c06backed No | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45ba…e172backed No | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7716…316abacked No | 73c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabe8…5bbdbacked No | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda86…8796backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf007…8695backed No | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42f0…c09cbacked No | 73c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe307…1310backed No | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79d0…b9b0backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…6122backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61f8…9139backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 47-48°F on March 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in NYC be 42°F or below on March 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in NYC be 53°F or higher on March 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 43-44°F on March 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 45-46°F on March 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 49-50°F on March 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 51-52°F on March 23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.