TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Fenerbahce win on 2025-03-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,157
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,103

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,157 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5314…910cbacked No42c6,744$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,923.153863.2%24 W · 14 L+6.1wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+37.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Yes61c5,068$3,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,086.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-56.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes60c2,503$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-48.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Yes49c2,002$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9801030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-46.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.9926022.3%58 W · 202 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No40c2,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.988420.2%17 W · 67 L-12.1wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-51.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No73c1,714$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.0712243.4%53 W · 69 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed No43c1,640$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.922425%6 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed Yes61c1,640$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.11944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick71cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Yes59c1,479$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.587862.8%49 W · 29 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No39c1,457$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.1233055.2%182 W · 148 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No41c1,302$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.479145.1%41 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x187f…c378backed Yes61c1,081$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.57540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-37.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Yes60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No41c887.68$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.3810452.9%55 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83da…41f7backed No39c824.96$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes61c819.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005962.7%37 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No43c696$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.7224655.7%137 W · 109 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06b0…afd6backed Yes39c646.74$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.461050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No57c525$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.917759.7%46 W · 31 L+9.3wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005240.4%21 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No40c499.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3008749.4%43 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Yes58c496.82$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.161050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8bf…c049backed Yes61c491.8$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No72c425.58$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.169961.6%61 W · 38 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x54fe…5850backed Yes7c420$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.41546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No40c403.99$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.9423757%135 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes59c400$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2365735.1%20 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes28c358.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006637.9%25 W · 41 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No42c351.7$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.4914042.1%59 W · 81 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No44c350$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19612737%47 W · 80 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes26c326.25$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.3717835.4%63 W · 115 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x95b3…4f0abacked Yes32c312.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1774257.1%24 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13512166.9%81 W · 40 L+17.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+29.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed No68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961050%5 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3510…2492backed No79c300$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631560%9 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+80.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x596a…1219backed Yes51c300$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1541625%4 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-35.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf10a…b2d1backed No80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+74.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes58c287.44$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.717566.7%50 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+18.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Yes59c250$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes59c238.98$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x922c…31d7backed Yes60c223.13$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+13.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3f37…6dc5backed Yes61c200.51$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed No69c184.5$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.49742.3%41 W · 56 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3a…544fbacked No43c176$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.32728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8773…302fbacked Yes60c173.95$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.33850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+41.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014733.3%49 W · 98 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36a8…8718backed Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013552.6%71 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7cd…9973backed Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45f1…8994backed Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5dc…0bc1backed Yes61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa718…8eb5backed Yes61c152.28$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.89250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x817a…0a90backed Yes55c149.49$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.914436.4%16 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb57d…ca49backed No42c145.45$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed No69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.933066.7%20 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdaa3…1ef8backed No42c135.93$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacf9…c596backed No41c134$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa66…15bdbacked Yes59c134$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.06250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+85.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No46c130$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.25156.9%29 W · 22 L+7.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+25.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9fbf…de7bbacked Yes60c128.03$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.82933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes60c125$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43ff…30e8backed Yes32c125$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4070%0 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf7b…dd7bbacked No42c124.05$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6fba…bdbdbacked Yes59c124.03$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.18425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-68.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5652…ff34backed No42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.055347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02cd…a6e2backed No42c108.98$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73b8…aa92backed No47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.385100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc72d…2311backed No41c105$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked No43c102.07$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.186241.9%26 W · 36 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x718c…f792backed No79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+54.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5952…a074backed Yes58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked No40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x49c2…b88cbacked Yes60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…c3f5backed Yes58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+31.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d86…f0bbbacked Yes57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c86…441fbacked Yes59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f6…f699backed No42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.12045%9 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61cd…fe91backed No41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85a2…31d8backed No43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes57c99.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.193938.5%15 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Yes58c99.82$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4da…428ebacked Yes61c95.28$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70d3…a474backed Yes61c94.69$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8982…c934backed Yes61c91.21$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-62.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf061…2572backed Yes57c87.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-56.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes58c87$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.467145.1%32 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed No70c85.49$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4913256.8%75 W · 57 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacd8…e908backed Yes59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020655.3%114 W · 92 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6072…fb46backed No42c83.33$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77d0…b2f5backed Yes59c81$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x219e…3be0backed Yes61c78.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1420%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf088…4942backed Yes52c77.46$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-53.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No40c76$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9813650%68 W · 68 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x89bc…22c3backed Yes59c75$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaed…7de0backed No41c75$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.