Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Fenerbahce vs. Rangers end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda30b927258eefb6df9e129a99c94574fb1f14aa06110833b0c41fe67cd8ec13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde46…eba5backed Yes | 22c | 10,044$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa889…4ca6backed No | 78c | 10,010$7,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,202.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 76c | 1,702$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.44 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 73c | 1,264$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.19 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 76c | 1,041$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.25 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 24c | 996.3$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.1 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0678…9fd0backed Yes | 23c | 750$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Yes | 22c | 687.62$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.28 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x922c…31d7backed Yes | 24c | 566.49$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…a570backed No | 77c | 472.99$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x548c…3229backed Yes | 24c | 425.79$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 66c | 412.21$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.76 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 22c | 398.53$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.68 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd06…41f7backed Yes | 24c | 279.17$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5624…aa84backed Yes | 24c | 262.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ead…0cdfbacked No | 78c | 257.41$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 25c | 234$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 74c | 209.23$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x321a…b052backed No | 78c | 202.52$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 22c | 201.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.31 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 23c | 200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Yes | 34c | 163.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Yes | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02fc…0853backed Yes | 25c | 132$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa92b…c356backed Yes | 22c | 108$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2712…4ff0backed Yes | 23c | 102$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x265e…4070backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +31%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d86…f0bbbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27c8…1dcbbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 75c | 97.48$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5a…3b88backed Yes | 23c | 93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes | 24c | 88.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f57…1a33backed No | 77c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba9…d1d9backed No | 77c | 69$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +118.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f90…a66ebacked Yes | 23c | 68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed No | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked No | 76c | 58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…b02dbacked Yes | 23c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa8…7924backed No | 78c | 42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b55…163dbacked No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…e56abacked No | 77c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50d9…b2a0backed No | 78c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f0…e759backed No | 78c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9945…c1f9backed No | 77c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb8…61d8backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44cb…b250backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…7d59backed No | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb58…d2f9backed No | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…11b3backed No | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555e…938abacked No | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5411…ac74backed No | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5731…33a7backed No | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2e…0c66backed No | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c7…1843backed No | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf53…b5b9backed No | 78c | 13.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fenerbahce vs. Rangers end in a draw?this page
- Will Fenerbahce win on 2025-03-06?No won
- Will Rangers win on 2025-03-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.