Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Rangers win on 2025-03-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe865f3d955924dde5ee0cb26586208414ec52d3a079a19c0d70ea871038684ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 48c | 10,804$5,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,233.81 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 53c | 8,664$4,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,078.48 | 121 | 66.9%81 W · 40 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 19c | 5,033$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,066.84 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 79c | 3,995$3,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,164.24 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…09cbbacked No | 58c | 2,588$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 45c | 2,586$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.43 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d86…f0bbbacked No | 72c | 2,082$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 18c | 2,000$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.29 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 10c | 1,667$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.13 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 72c | 1,145$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.65 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7778…5ce7backed Yes | 18c | 819$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfc…0810backed Yes | 51c | 790.2$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed No | 64c | 753.67$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…12f8backed Yes | 45c | 731.51$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 15c | 588.24$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.24 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +224.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 19c | 528.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.75 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c65…a0b7backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb175…b65cbacked Yes | 74c | 500$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 19c | 400$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 21c | 350$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.5 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82c9…bfe0backed Yes | 18c | 279.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecf…d2d0backed Yes | 19c | 260$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +160%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Yes | 16c | 233.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.8 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x95b3…4f0abacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…c3f5backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef2…8a53backed Yes | 46c | 185.28$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf061…2572backed No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Yes | 79c | 124.54$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 18c | 110$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…8ed4backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +86%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 41c | 90$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…c510backed Yes | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 59c | 85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba9…d1d9backed Yes | 19c | 82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +118.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6007…8702backed Yes | 40c | 81.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Yes | 57c | 70.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9982…5e4dbacked Yes | 19c | 69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Yes | 19c | 68.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.46 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Yes | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd06a…0fb2backed Yes | 20c | 66.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +410.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06b9…fb44backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…423fbacked Yes | 57c | 46.35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16a…5579backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee8…c6f5backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…a675backed Yes | 51c | 38.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 78c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 43c | 37.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…4253backed No | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1268…94e0backed Yes | 47c | 28.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed No | 58c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rangers win on 2025-03-06?this page
- Will Fenerbahce vs. Rangers end in a draw?No won
- Will Fenerbahce win on 2025-03-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.