NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Sharks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a427060884f100e0e2340a6ce95b2fd5e2b13d5a1898c3cfa450531b2a3eca9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flamesof Flames, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $187,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $196,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 675 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x354f…03ebbacked Flames | 65c | 50,510$32,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,678.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc2…3092backed Sharks | 35c | 46,880$16,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,408 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa068…9574backed Flames | 69c | 10,177$7,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,137.87 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Sharks | 32c | 8,000$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…db97backed Sharks | 36c | 6,944$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Flames | 64c | 6,522$4,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.98 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Flames | 68c | 4,239$2,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.55 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Sharks | 56c | 4,191$2,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340.63 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97db…8513backed Sharks | 35c | 3,630$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Flames | 66c | 3,614$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.64 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Flames | 48c | 3,557$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,851.76 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Flames | 54c | 3,072$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.73 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Sharks | 33c | 2,953$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.86 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Sharks | 34c | 2,553$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.76 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Sharks | 32c | 2,435$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.13 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Flames | 68c | 2,432$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.91 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -25%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Flames | 67c | 2,420$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.1 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…1715backed Flames | 64c | 2,022$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.91 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…56d0backed Sharks | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Sharks | 21c | 1,884$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.78 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Flames | 69c | 1,500$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.32 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Sharks | 34c | 1,470$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.42 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…0401backed Sharks | 41c | 1,468$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…4673backed Flames | 69c | 1,454$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.54 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Sharks | 32c | 1,337$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.03 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Flames | 67c | 1,109$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.93 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Flames | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Sharks | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f88…4619backed Sharks | 67c | 920.31$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Sharks | 35c | 899.89$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.96 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb400…1ed9backed Sharks | 11c | 880.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Sharks | 33c | 874.79$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.68 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Sharks | 34c | 751.05$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.03 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Sharks | 35c | 712$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.82 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Flames | 67c | 699.84$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.22 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Sharks | 31c | 599.02$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.7 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Flames | 68c | 598.86$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.64 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Sharks | 61c | 597.92$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.73 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Sharks | 33c | 526.97$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.9 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Flames | 39c | 512.23$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.73 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Sharks | 34c | 499.96$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.49 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Flames | 64c | 440$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Sharks | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Flames | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8896…7d78backed Flames | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 70 | 71.4%50 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Sharks | 31c | 292.24$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.59 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sharks | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Flames | 40c | 251.73$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.04 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d25…9462backed Flames | 65c | 238.46$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd49…cae9backed Sharks | 36c | 236.11$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Flames | 59c | 224.46$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.05 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Flames | 64c | 222$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Flames | 67c | 220$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa929…1baabacked Flames | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fb…fb2cbacked Flames | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d8…ddfcbacked Flames | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac41…21b2backed Flames | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00a…61febacked Flames | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc67c…f843backed Flames | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc234…74b2backed Flames | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x929d…1176backed Sharks | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2cd…fb96backed Flames | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bc…53f2backed Flames | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…7e2fbacked Flames | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…fdb3backed Flames | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe920…7289backed Flames | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…0932backed Flames | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafff…bba8backed Flames | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe413…7760backed Flames | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…0bf2backed Flames | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb709…3b5cbacked Flames | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bad…4f8dbacked Sharks | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…31e9backed Flames | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…384ebacked Sharks | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d82…f177backed Flames | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5000…b74abacked Flames | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…d0aabacked Flames | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…4f35backed Flames | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d7…37f8backed Flames | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c5…57a3backed Flames | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x352f…c76cbacked Flames | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe73…265dbacked Flames | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…1b99backed Flames | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cf…4c54backed Flames | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ca…32c6backed Flames | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d5…8aedbacked Sharks | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb8…fa6cbacked Sharks | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e3…59fabacked Flames | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…fd96backed Sharks | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 60cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…e036backed Sharks | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…e8bdbacked Flames | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…54f7backed Flames | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb53b…3f0bbacked Sharks | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…09f0backed Flames | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8220…2ecebacked Flames | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a9…3944backed Flames | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +42%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb086…bfb4backed Flames | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa8…3bf6backed Sharks | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc55a…bdfebacked Flames | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e94…54f5backed Flames | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.