TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Gonzaga vs. Houston

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Houstonof Gonzaga, Houston
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$276,802
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$291,499

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $276,802 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4259…936fbacked Houston68c75,000$51,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,0003641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Gonzaga29c33,331$9,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,532.8610335.9%37 W · 66 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80a5…f9babacked Gonzaga33c21,037$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0008143.2%35 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Gonzaga32c19,425$6,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,2164831.3%15 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-44.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Gonzaga4c19,013$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.325054%27 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2379…9ac8backed Gonzaga25c14,250$3,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,521.551118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-41%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Houston69c11,460$7,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,597.258644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Gonzaga32c10,331$3,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,310.475349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Gonzaga0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Gonzaga32c9,207$2,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,962.3916053.8%86 W · 74 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Gonzaga32c8,458$2,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,665.089833.7%33 W · 65 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-28.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x32be…58dbbacked Gonzaga8c7,162$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Gonzaga0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10822.4%2 W · 80 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-88.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb3d…a886backed Gonzaga33c4,330$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,428.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Houston68c4,263$2,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.8142948.5%208 W · 221 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Gonzaga32c3,606$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.7716842.3%71 W · 97 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa535…6bf5backed Houston68c3,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick61cpaid+53.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Houston69c2,751$1,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.811957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80f2…3343backed Gonzaga33c2,337$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x48bf…8e10backed Houston67c2,237$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-25.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa94d…234abacked Houston67c2,234$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.32100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76b2…097bbacked Houston67c2,192$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.46250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-25.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Houston66c2,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6809641.7%40 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Gonzaga23c1,751$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004520%9 W · 36 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-50.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe544…3cfcbacked Houston68c1,677$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.352060%12 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3447…3495backed Houston68c1,503$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.961050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Gonzaga32c1,466$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.122055%11 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Gonzaga1c1,451$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3280%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7552…320dbacked Gonzaga32c1,418$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.751145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Gonzaga15c1,333$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.974632.6%15 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe92b…fa4dbacked Gonzaga17c1,212$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35aa…94bcbacked Houston68c1,176$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.471225%3 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-62.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Gonzaga11c1,132$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.413016.7%5 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-68.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Houston68c1,117$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.558232.9%27 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Houston68c979.41$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.411978.9%15 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick69cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Gonzaga2c975$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.51,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf59b…1cacbacked Gonzaga9c930$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8060%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb928…5fd7backed Houston68c884.23$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.95560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9f…c17cbacked Gonzaga5c840.88$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5930%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11fc…f8c4backed Houston68c805$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.62227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-57.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x330a…438cbacked Houston69c753.62$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.623100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+63.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Gonzaga31c685.68$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.871,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Gonzaga2c632.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.66714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick37cpaid-79.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Houston68c584.32$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.322568%17 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+21.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc277…9d94backed Houston68c521.25$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.81050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Houston68c510.96$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.9619238.5%74 W · 118 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Houston66c500$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1691553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20d1…a623backed Gonzaga33c452.79$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.3430%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Houston66c430.5$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.377936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c81…3b0cbacked Houston69c400$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20e9…6371backed Gonzaga33c362.93$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fcc…2d54backed Gonzaga34c354.03$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.37560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e14…3003backed Houston68c349.67$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.394932.7%16 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-27.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Gonzaga32c336$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.522,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x830d…3f0ebacked Gonzaga31c322.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002030%6 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fd3…7214backed Gonzaga10c307.66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.831625%4 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd36a…5bc2backed Gonzaga33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick13cpaid-35.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Houston67c303.03$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1008151.9%42 W · 39 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x755c…7741backed Houston67c303.01$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.992931%9 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96c6…34a2backed Gonzaga32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964450%22 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+43.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Houston69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.862927.6%8 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Houston69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.8648462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Houston66c283.74$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.476934.8%24 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe87c…de2bbacked Gonzaga32c265.31$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d8d…7e4fbacked Houston68c257.91$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.06475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Gonzaga31c250$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.59839.8%39 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e5…316dbacked Gonzaga33c218.18$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722619.2%5 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-54.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Gonzaga5c213.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.860551.4%311 W · 294 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Houston64c210.53$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.796440.6%26 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17e5…3d19backed Houston65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d4b…a250backed Houston68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Gonzaga31c185.76$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.599751.5%50 W · 47 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Houston67c183.88$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.686923.2%16 W · 53 L-7.2wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-49.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Gonzaga33c181.83$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605514.5%8 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed Gonzaga33c181.82$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6017122.8%39 W · 132 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Houston67c179.97$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.115152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02a1…3f08backed Gonzaga32c171.88$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc80…2bc1backed Houston67c165$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.454932.7%16 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+56%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Gonzaga28c159.66$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453923.1%9 W · 30 L-8.7wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-65.5%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xfc5c…fbc2backed Gonzaga15c152.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e57…85f5backed Gonzaga34c150.88$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb5f…0848backed Houston67c150$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.51838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-36.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Houston68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0657448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…8f26backed Houston78c147.06$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.181936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-43.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Houston69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.938463.1%53 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed Houston69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9320642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7592…b5cbbacked Houston71c137.33$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.191883.3%15 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Houston67c121.21$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402152.4%11 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+35.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2bc7…7ca7backed Houston69c115$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.651266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed Gonzaga32c103.78$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.21419.8%4 W · 37 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-67.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x235c…8c1abacked Houston68c102.94$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.942759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x471f…fd87backed Gonzaga34c101.24$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x61d2…ce4bbacked Gonzaga33c100.15$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Gonzaga34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3430139.2%118 W · 183 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Houston66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf9f…2a46backed Gonzaga33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-60.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1748…885dbacked Gonzaga19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.44633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Houston68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324770.2%33 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9d5…0d20backed Houston67c96.4$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+78.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe21…527ebacked Gonzaga32c92.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-52.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.