Us Politics · resolved market
Gold missing from Fort Knox?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf32e257000f1a5c494fb3e0ad7bc171bd23d95c734668a5fb9e8a03e1570820d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,518,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,939,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,518,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 548 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf60d…9ec9backed Yes | 1c | 600,768$3,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,075.81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 20cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x447f…9767backed Yes | 9c | 332,748$29,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,625.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c21…69debacked Yes | 1c | 205,470$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.86 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36cc…8642backed Yes | 19c | 203,897$38,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,392.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4151…7ae9backed Yes | 5c | 65,697$2,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,958.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 3c | 42,244$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.19 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…7afebacked Yes | 5c | 35,822$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.21 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…0439backed Yes | 0c | 33,966$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3283…1da9backed Yes | 17c | 29,136$4,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,835.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3a…6cd3backed Yes | 18c | 24,929$4,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,561.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…9031backed Yes | 0c | 24,500$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd7…5f9ebacked Yes | 20c | 24,177$4,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,849.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8588…de5ebacked Yes | 9c | 23,181$2,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,143.48 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…977abacked Yes | 21c | 22,759$4,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,779.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 12c | 20,212$2,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,353.33 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 6c | 20,015$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.89 | 86 | 15.1%13 W · 73 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 6c | 18,687$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.44 | 180 | 33.3%60 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3371…5871backed Yes | 0c | 16,605$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2283…0a32backed Yes | 13c | 16,277$2,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,124.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1f…34babacked Yes | 16c | 15,898$2,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,619 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d0…e6e4backed Yes | 33c | 15,124$4,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,998.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked Yes | 13c | 14,000$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.33 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…26b1backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa8…6c7cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,050$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf3…986ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x408f…f530backed Yes | 18c | 9,473$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4c…e22fbacked Yes | 18c | 8,838$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 7c | 8,656$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.59 | 210 | 22.4%47 W · 163 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed Yes | 20c | 7,158$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.08 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9c…38b7backed Yes | 22c | 7,040$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf155…2e19backed Yes | 7c | 6,490$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.67 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb273…c3a9backed Yes | 16c | 6,279$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…5f5ebacked Yes | 5c | 6,084$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e5…4f9dbacked Yes | 16c | 6,052$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb721…d24bbacked Yes | 0c | 6,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…3b03backed Yes | 17c | 5,741$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62c3…6e3dbacked Yes | 18c | 5,684$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…2e0cbacked Yes | 20c | 5,639$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713f…9672backed Yes | 2c | 5,625$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe40…96eabacked Yes | 18c | 5,393$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2c…107ebacked Yes | 19c | 5,330$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc12…ce48backed Yes | 19c | 5,263$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.06 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed Yes | 0c | 5,141$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5771…fe1abacked Yes | 20c | 5,029$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x369b…7724backed Yes | 19c | 5,001$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ab…da59backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 35cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked No | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked No | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked No | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.99 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…989ebacked Yes | 21c | 4,810$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Yes | 16c | 4,561$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 79c | 4,371$3,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.27 | 216 | 34.3%74 W · 142 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…64f9backed Yes | 19c | 4,337$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…46ffbacked Yes | 22c | 4,304$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0b…2341backed Yes | 19c | 4,289$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476a…76bdbacked Yes | 19c | 4,211$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…6f8abacked Yes | 17c | 4,024$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…aa35backed No | 79c | 4,000$3,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.02 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd69…a2e1backed No | 78c | 4,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.99 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68da…ee52backed Yes | 4c | 3,911$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.84 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac5a…8695backed Yes | 18c | 3,839$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3c…8727backed Yes | 21c | 3,697$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8c…c7ecbacked Yes | 18c | 3,523$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a36…2916backed Yes | 15c | 3,351$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca52…49e8backed Yes | 15c | 3,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7819…eccebacked Yes | 18c | 3,325$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b8…c81fbacked Yes | 10c | 3,210$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.04 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e6…beb9backed Yes | 16c | 3,125$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 11c | 3,073$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.72 | 219 | 35.2%77 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…54d6backed No | 79c | 3,036$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.6 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 17c | 3,030$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.57 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…d4a6backed No | 79c | 3,000$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…8e3bbacked Yes | 7c | 2,958$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.95 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa454…584fbacked Yes | 16c | 2,936$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547b…014cbacked Yes | 19c | 2,776$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.48 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x084e…b618backed Yes | 3c | 2,770$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -58%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8279…4018backed Yes | 22c | 2,693$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa000…8eddbacked Yes | 19c | 2,674$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…5ad1backed Yes | 19c | 2,632$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc411…2a64backed Yes | 4c | 2,580$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.64 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x141e…8c87backed Yes | 4c | 2,550$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…2d5dbacked Yes | 20c | 2,537$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked No | 78c | 2,500$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.5 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…1376backed Yes | 20c | 2,460$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…8766backed Yes | 10c | 2,445$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fea…d383backed No | 2c | 2,384$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,335.84 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b9…eee5backed Yes | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…28d5backed Yes | 19c | 2,380$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.23 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6e…6893backed Yes | 17c | 2,353$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 5c | 2,327$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.84 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…fec5backed Yes | 6c | 2,300$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3eb…3c47backed Yes | 15c | 2,290$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…b6e3backed Yes | 18c | 2,222$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c9…832fbacked Yes | 4c | 2,137$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,102$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 240 | 0%0 W · 240 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e4…ad27backed Yes | 11c | 2,100$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…b317backed Yes | 17c | 2,095$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c23…b6a1backed Yes | 18c | 2,016$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.42 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -81%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe17…dd5cbacked Yes | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.