TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Sabres vs. Blue Jackets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blue Jacketsof Sabres, Blue Jackets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$162,789
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$169,913

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,789 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb00f…db97backed Sabres39c101,481$39,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,318.12737%10 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Blue Jackets64c36,121$23,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,009.2292848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Blue Jackets55c20,000$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,0008749.4%43 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jackets78c14,111$10,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,116.741,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa774…dcafbacked Sabres45c10,534$4,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,740.13540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Blue Jackets54c10,000$5,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,65019555.4%108 W · 87 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Blue Jackets55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,50016645.8%76 W · 90 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Sabres44c9,199$4,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,020.111,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Blue Jackets52c7,403$3,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,553.4536242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Sabres44c7,000$3,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,08013754%74 W · 63 L+9.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Blue Jackets54c5,230$2,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,405.9513845.7%63 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb377…f621backed Blue Jackets55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,250955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Blue Jackets57c3,248$1,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.1324546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Blue Jackets56c2,345$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.617361.6%45 W · 28 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+25.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Blue Jackets54c2,247$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.7884051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Blue Jackets54c2,000$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.8949351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Blue Jackets52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96013348.1%64 W · 69 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Blue Jackets57c1,760$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.0715261.8%94 W · 58 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Sabres18c1,389$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.027634.2%26 W · 50 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Sabres44c1,350$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.9866951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Sabres46c1,283$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.981,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jackets44c1,153$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.023,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Sabres45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa1e1…921ebacked Sabres79c904.18$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.32360.9%14 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e78…6c4cbacked Sabres49c821.43$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b4c…e96bbacked Sabres44c770$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e3f…79ddbacked Blue Jackets56c769.59$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x145a…032fbacked Blue Jackets57c740.93$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.93250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb80a…80febacked Sabres44c700$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Blue Jackets55c680.63$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.0597651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Blue Jackets54c469.05$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.9437738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4aa…fa32backed Blue Jackets57c457.89$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Blue Jackets54c444$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2479251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Blue Jackets75c442.62$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.9319848.5%96 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Blue Jackets54c375.02$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.5672847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34c5…f2afbacked Sabres46c293.65$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.088347%39 W · 44 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Blue Jackets54c290.04$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.421,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd377…a0a5backed Sabres72c278.38$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012552%13 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b2c…284cbacked Blue Jackets57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.166848.5%33 W · 35 L-7.5wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd7b7…11cbbacked Sabres68c261.07$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37d5…31c3backed Blue Jackets57c242.11$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.11250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sabres44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f6f…ea97backed Sabres44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+44.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Blue Jackets57c222$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.4650857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f4…d1a7backed Sabres46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4fb…d684backed Sabres45c198.02$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1288…e4c1backed Blue Jackets56c198.02$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf631…e20fbacked Sabres79c184.35$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4cb…9c85backed Blue Jackets55c180$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+39.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe22f…0f5dbacked Sabres45c180$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ed…0426backed Sabres47c178$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.561346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f7a…b24cbacked Blue Jackets53c178$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.661020%2 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-53.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Blue Jackets57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4412556.8%71 W · 54 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ac…0ac3backed Sabres44c170.45$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf00e…884cbacked Blue Jackets57c169$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.671553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a1f…9f1abacked Sabres46c168$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.281338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe102…8235backed Blue Jackets54c168$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.281346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c6d…7d7cbacked Sabres47c165$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.551546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb062…2811backed Blue Jackets53c165$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.551650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72b2…1067backed Sabres43c165$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.951369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x36db…9fd7backed Blue Jackets55c149.98$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4911751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Blue Jackets57c142$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5730549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Blue Jackets45c138.66$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.6654418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b0…69e9backed Sabres78c127.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006454.7%35 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd67f…a3b2backed Blue Jackets57c126.32$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.32955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Blue Jackets63c125$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6513043.8%57 W · 73 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b95…8affbacked Sabres53c124.08$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.186363.5%40 W · 23 L+7.2wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+27.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe9da…3eaabacked Sabres44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.81172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+45.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdeff…9297backed Sabres44c118.48$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.13850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2318…59cebacked Sabres44c116.25$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.151060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb92c…da18backed Sabres75c115.81$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.86633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-47.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Blue Jackets55c115.56$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb559…0f9cbacked Sabres44c111.98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.271145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Sabres45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Blue Jackets53c111$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1720942.6%89 W · 120 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Blue Jackets53c111$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1760549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x792b…0775backed Blue Jackets57c111$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7320861.5%128 W · 80 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d8b…41f3backed Sabres44c109.09$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebeb…74d4backed Sabres46c108.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.83333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4000…621abacked Blue Jackets56c107.36$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fbe…e758backed Blue Jackets57c107.02$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.021172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.31per pick42cpaid+97.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x50ff…edc5backed Sabres44c106.82$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6854…949abacked Blue Jackets56c104$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe829…12a7backed Sabres44c104$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eaa…e48dbacked Sabres45c100.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.44966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Blue Jackets57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4335154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f26…1bb1backed Sabres45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.8wins-0.29per pick52cpaid-54%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Blue Jackets50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5027643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6072…fb46backed Blue Jackets57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435954.2%32 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ff3…ff34backed Blue Jackets28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick50cpaid+100.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0807…60f2backed Blue Jackets55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63f3…c0e3backed Sabres72c100$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f6b…b378backed Blue Jackets56c98$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1152…f181backed Sabres44c98$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b9…7726backed Blue Jackets55c96$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.21258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+24.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5be7…4049backed Blue Jackets57c95.18$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.931154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x639e…1f29backed Blue Jackets57c93.54$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.22988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.32per pick57cpaid+65.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x09c0…5b10backed Blue Jackets57c93.42$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.171361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09fc…ac8ebacked Sabres44c93$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.921145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x316a…f887backed Blue Jackets56c92$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.