NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x734bc81d59b47c0d34fd6e0cd705c0a7a5ec487ac6554723e548acd4c804e35c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,868,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,989,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,868,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 636 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Thunder | 80c | 222,483$177,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177,389.39 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Nuggets | 18c | 183,241$33,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149,793.1 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Nuggets | 47c | 79,809$37,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,670.66 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Thunder | 80c | 50,000$40,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,000 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…bd0abacked Nuggets | 12c | 44,961$5,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,557.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 20cpaid | +292.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Thunder | 78c | 42,426$33,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,175.28 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fb…84b5backed Thunder | 79c | 37,894$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…3bd9backed Nuggets | 20c | 31,273$6,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,018.36 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +8.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Thunder | 80c | 29,927$23,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,941.24 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Nuggets | 22c | 26,991$6,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,946.15 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Nuggets | 41c | 24,082$9,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,319.15 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Nuggets | 22c | 23,999$5,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,747.11 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Thunder | 80c | 23,678$18,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,942.38 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Nuggets | 11c | 18,647$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,512.73 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Nuggets | 27c | 17,749$4,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,026.98 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Thunder | 60c | 17,387$10,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,351.51 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Nuggets | 14c | 17,261$2,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,780.03 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Thunder | 78c | 17,175$13,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,421.5 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Nuggets | 14c | 16,402$2,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,057.89 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Nuggets | 20c | 15,592$3,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,473.6 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Thunder | 80c | 15,000$11,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,949.85 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Nuggets | 20c | 14,853$2,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,882.15 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Nuggets | 22c | 13,707$2,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,719.14 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nuggets | 23c | 13,145$2,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,152.54 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Nuggets | 20c | 13,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Thunder | 80c | 12,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…8898backed Thunder | 79c | 11,020$8,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,705.8 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Nuggets | 12c | 10,687$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,387.41 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3375…a8d8backed Nuggets | 13c | 10,046$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,755.16 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Thunder | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Thunder | 80c | 10,000$7,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,950 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…33ffbacked Nuggets | 21c | 10,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,899.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +211.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Thunder | 79c | 10,000$7,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,849.95 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…385abacked Thunder | 79c | 9,996$7,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,896.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Nuggets | 17c | 9,626$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,002.89 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nuggets | 24c | 9,322$2,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,071.46 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Nuggets | 28c | 8,007$2,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,768.87 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Thunder | 0c | 8,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Nuggets | 21c | 7,122$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,627.63 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Thunder | 80c | 7,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf935…51abbacked Nuggets | 18c | 6,627$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,447.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 30cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nuggets | 18c | 6,462$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,269.37 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…f94abacked Thunder | 79c | 6,033$4,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,766.05 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…102ebacked Nuggets | 21c | 6,011$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,748.69 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd616…1106backed Nuggets | 20c | 5,794$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,631.53 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Nuggets | 15c | 5,660$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,822.39 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Nuggets | 18c | 5,569$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,568.7 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Nuggets | 22c | 5,488$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,280.63 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Nuggets | 15c | 5,409$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,598.76 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Nuggets | 10c | 5,333$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,783.33 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Nuggets | 21c | 5,260$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,159.74 | 314 | 53.5%168 W · 146 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Thunder | 74c | 5,155$3,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,820.11 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Thunder | 77c | 5,064$3,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.13 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nuggets | 21c | 5,050$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,989.49 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Nuggets | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Nuggets | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,949.8 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Thunder | 80c | 4,725$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x322d…305fbacked Nuggets | 20c | 4,666$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,732.88 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Nuggets | 24c | 4,524$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,416.04 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aef…4e67backed Nuggets | 13c | 4,302$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,748.92 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Thunder | 78c | 4,193$3,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,280.1 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Thunder | 79c | 4,000$3,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,160 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Nuggets | 21c | 4,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,160 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Nuggets | 10c | 4,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Thunder | 75c | 4,000$2,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,979.99 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -8.4wins | -0.17per pick | 70cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Thunder | 79c | 3,847$3,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040.58 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Thunder | 79c | 3,786$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.2 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Nuggets | 12c | 3,633$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,179.93 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Nuggets | 15c | 3,600$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,075.99 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…b97dbacked Nuggets | 14c | 3,600$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,082.79 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a24…ea91backed Thunder | 80c | 3,500$2,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,795 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -3.0wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Nuggets | 18c | 3,388$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,777.66 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Nuggets | 10c | 3,380$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,034.23 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Nuggets | 20c | 3,280$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,623.96 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Thunder | 80c | 3,200$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…f614backed Thunder | 76c | 3,197$2,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,416.95 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Thunder | 80c | 3,195$2,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,556 | 81 | 67.9%55 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Nuggets | 22c | 3,182$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,481.82 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Thunder | 80c | 3,118$2,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,483.99 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Nuggets | 11c | 3,107$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,779.76 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Nuggets | 14c | 3,035$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,618.37 | 105 | 30.5%32 W · 73 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…3b0cbacked Nuggets | 17c | 3,015$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,515.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Nuggets | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Thunder | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.93 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8aa…ae12backed Nuggets | 18c | 3,000$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,468.92 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb843…1b3fbacked Nuggets | 3c | 2,978$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,877.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 8cpaid | +1,041.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Nuggets | 24c | 2,929$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,217.71 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Nuggets | 7c | 2,860$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,659.8 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Nuggets | 24c | 2,647$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021.11 | 174 | 20.1%35 W · 139 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Nuggets | 6c | 2,557$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,391.07 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Thunder | 79c | 2,539$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005.42 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Nuggets | 21c | 2,500$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,975 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa53e…8ba5backed Nuggets | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…dc82backed Nuggets | 16c | 2,500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,109.99 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Nuggets | 5c | 2,405$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,282.67 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0c…cd1cbacked Nuggets | 22c | 2,318$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Thunder | 1c | 2,300$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd3…2a3cbacked Nuggets | 6c | 2,217$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.67 | 87 | 14.9%13 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Nuggets | 27c | 2,175$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.73 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa530…4280backed Nuggets | 14c | 2,105$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.32 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +191.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.