NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffce44c304934eb6dc8bc4d777921dab9df3bfe9e363528b3741c51f0bdc57bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Lightning, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x206a…29eebacked Lightning | 59c | 6,466$3,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,674.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Lightning | 57c | 4,953$2,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,131.48 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Rangers | 42c | 3,739$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.49 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbc…a70dbacked Rangers | 42c | 3,500$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Rangers | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.98 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Rangers | 0c | 3,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…a5edbacked Lightning | 58c | 2,269$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…1715backed Lightning | 57c | 2,033$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.19 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…56d0backed Rangers | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.99 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Rangers | 43c | 1,880$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.4 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rangers | 6c | 1,870$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.77 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Rangers | 41c | 1,737$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.35 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Rangers | 42c | 1,707$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.87 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Rangers | 42c | 1,680$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.39 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…424cbacked Lightning | 58c | 1,386$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.21 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f59…152cbacked Rangers | 43c | 1,386$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.99 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +47%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Lightning | 56c | 1,300$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.98 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers | 9c | 1,286$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.09 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3e…c572backed Lightning | 58c | 1,207$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Rangers | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Rangers | 42c | 1,128$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.12 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lightning | 59c | 1,034$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.99 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Lightning | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff1f…d5dfbacked Lightning | 59c | 981$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.21 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014a…8aefbacked Rangers | 41c | 981$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.21 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Lightning | 59c | 869.8$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.62 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Rangers | 41c | 854.14$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.2 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Rangers | 42c | 771.98$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.23 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa37f…a1c5backed Lightning | 57c | 603.26$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…f425backed Rangers | 43c | 602$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffa4…1f7fbacked Lightning | 57c | 540.59$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c00…a074backed Rangers | 43c | 522$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…3c1dbacked Rangers | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9adc…e80dbacked Rangers | 42c | 459.52$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3015…ac6fbacked Lightning | 59c | 459.32$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.32 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d68…6af4backed Rangers | 44c | 426.11$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9eb…8be1backed Lightning | 59c | 414.1$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc797…49cdbacked Rangers | 7c | 397.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Rangers | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x303f…801ebacked Lightning | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Rangers | 42c | 333.33$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Lightning | 57c | 333$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.19 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rangers | 42c | 319.22$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.85 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Rangers | 9c | 279$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9600…7af4backed Lightning | 58c | 275.86$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fa4bbacked Lightning | 58c | 240$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d25…9462backed Rangers | 44c | 230$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd211…628bbacked Lightning | 56c | 223.21$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe08d…d5d4backed Lightning | 61c | 220$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb8…af02backed Rangers | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Rangers | 40c | 168$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Rangers | 42c | 160$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…48a9backed Rangers | 14c | 131.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c52…42efbacked Rangers | 42c | 128.79$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.09 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6f…7785backed Rangers | 42c | 127.02$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908f…d651backed Rangers | 43c | 126.44$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.37 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.46per pick | 40cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…67fcbacked Rangers | 10c | 124.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4c…12e8backed Rangers | 43c | 121.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…6a60backed Rangers | 43c | 120.7$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b96…1604backed Rangers | 42c | 119.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8915…e791backed Rangers | 44c | 111$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ff…6fa6backed Lightning | 56c | 111$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x646f…a6c9backed Rangers | 43c | 109.05$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…53eabacked Lightning | 57c | 103.3$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x861b…45a1backed Rangers | 43c | 103.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Lightning | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf17b…a238backed Rangers | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6072…fb46backed Lightning | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…6e1dbacked Lightning | 58c | 93.45$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ff…0186backed Lightning | 56c | 93$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9a…bf0ebacked Rangers | 44c | 93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…5286backed Rangers | 42c | 92.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa62a…2f7cbacked Lightning | 60c | 91.92$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a3…8cfebacked Rangers | 42c | 91.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec83…2e36backed Lightning | 58c | 91.1$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc319…eb75backed Lightning | 59c | 90.93$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7f…6c30backed Lightning | 59c | 90.86$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e9…a50ebacked Rangers | 43c | 89.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6947…28b3backed Lightning | 58c | 89.09$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.42 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafad…e291backed Lightning | 59c | 89.08$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e86…f837backed Rangers | 43c | 89.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1829…6c96backed Lightning | 59c | 86.95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe32d…b3cbbacked Lightning | 59c | 86.53$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Lightning | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…40bfbacked Lightning | 58c | 84.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Lightning | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8e…21a3backed Lightning | 58c | 84.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e90…4c0bbacked Rangers | 42c | 84.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54b…fe04backed Lightning | 58c | 84.07$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a6…b0d4backed Lightning | 59c | 83.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3427…011dbacked Lightning | 58c | 81.53$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd49…cae9backed Rangers | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33ff…2079backed Lightning | 59c | 74.07$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…37e1backed Rangers | 42c | 73.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb0…c71dbacked Rangers | 44c | 70.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…df56backed Lightning | 56c | 69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…9a66backed Lightning | 56c | 69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a9…4baabacked Rangers | 44c | 69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.