NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Islanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf07a58e37f40fcf15bc3f1ca5f95d96b6e8bb881af3cf68a043a0796fae45a7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Capitals, Islanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Capitals | 50c | 3,333$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.5 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Capitals | 52c | 2,232$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.4 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Islanders | 49c | 1,983$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.75 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Capitals | 76c | 1,600$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.5 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…106abacked Capitals | 50c | 1,510$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…0e96backed Islanders | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Capitals | 51c | 1,480$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.39 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Islanders | 49c | 1,425$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.16 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Islanders | 50c | 1,144$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.08 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Capitals | 53c | 1,129$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.12 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…9462backed Islanders | 50c | 1,012$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaf…1aaebacked Capitals | 50c | 1,012$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Islanders | 31c | 1,003$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.9 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Islanders | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Islanders | 49c | 999.95$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.98 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Islanders | 49c | 975.97$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.22 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Capitals | 48c | 833.1$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.21 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Islanders | 49c | 810.1$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.95 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Islanders | 13c | 798.5$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.45 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Capitals | 53c | 416.03$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.67 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Islanders | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0772…1ae0backed Islanders | 50c | 390$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0713…2302backed Capitals | 51c | 382.35$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd81…c193backed Islanders | 50c | 380$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c71…e865backed Capitals | 51c | 372.55$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Capitals | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Islanders | 49c | 257.56$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.2 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde06…d53abacked Islanders | 50c | 232.72$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2311…46b0backed Capitals | 51c | 232.67$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…6c32backed Islanders | 50c | 227.78$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…662abacked Capitals | 51c | 227.73$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…f060backed Capitals | 50c | 224.76$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa610…fb95backed Islanders | 51c | 224.75$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3e…694ebacked Capitals | 51c | 224.73$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659e…793ebacked Capitals | 50c | 224.2$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f4…bcd5backed Islanders | 51c | 223.37$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x395c…8feebacked Capitals | 51c | 222.82$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f7…5d7ebacked Islanders | 50c | 222.78$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67dd…fa21backed Islanders | 50c | 222.78$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cda…60efbacked Capitals | 51c | 217.88$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5efe…8838backed Islanders | 50c | 217.82$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf39…9f30backed Capitals | 51c | 216.86$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2749…4e99backed Islanders | 50c | 216.84$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…decebacked Capitals | 51c | 215.84$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac0…c56ebacked Islanders | 50c | 215.84$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Islanders | 12c | 211.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Capitals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Islanders | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Islanders | 49c | 153$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Islanders | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Islanders | 49c | 146$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.02 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Capitals | 54c | 142.21$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.49 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c71…4148backed Islanders | 50c | 110.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…d43dbacked Capitals | 51c | 109.49$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.65 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7620…b065backed Capitals | 51c | 107.45$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75a2…8e7cbacked Islanders | 50c | 107.3$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf909…3daabacked Islanders | 50c | 107.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eba…ff68backed Islanders | 51c | 105.39$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Islanders | 49c | 103.53$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae3a…bdd7backed Capitals | 51c | 101.73$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.85 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…e55abacked Islanders | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Islanders | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Islanders | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8570…52b5backed Capitals | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…8935backed Capitals | 51c | 99.57$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.79 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…e4b4backed Capitals | 51c | 99.29$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.65 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4743…f0bebacked Islanders | 51c | 98.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f0…0adbbacked Capitals | 50c | 98.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.08 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +93%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Islanders | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Capitals | 50c | 98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 600 | 42.8%257 W · 343 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92ed…57c1backed Islanders | 51c | 96.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4c…89e5backed Capitals | 51c | 96.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…f409backed Capitals | 51c | 94.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.34 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd1…5615backed Capitals | 51c | 93.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…799abacked Islanders | 50c | 93.84$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4f…cc00backed Islanders | 50c | 93.74$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2d…10a0backed Islanders | 51c | 93.12$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.49 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 47cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x860b…f6e9backed Capitals | 50c | 90.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +49%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4b…1b91backed Islanders | 51c | 89.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…b66ebacked Capitals | 50c | 79.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Capitals | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Islanders | 52c | 66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 208 | 61.5%128 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Capitals | 50c | 65.92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Islanders | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Islanders | 49c | 53.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Capitals | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2820…f572backed Islanders | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbebd…93afbacked Capitals | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3648…4fcebacked Islanders | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6072…fb46backed Islanders | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Capitals | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf846…8b9fbacked Islanders | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…ad6abacked Capitals | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +4.9wins | +0.35per pick | 58cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Capitals | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c75…154abacked Islanders | 52c | 36.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Islanders | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Islanders | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa28e…058cbacked Islanders | 50c | 32.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…08bdbacked Capitals | 51c | 32.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Islanders | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 653 | 45%294 W · 359 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.