TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6c75…154a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
103
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: MLB, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 57 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2025, EDT6860.3%41 W · 27 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$11.42
Padres vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.12
Twins vs. Red Soxbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+100%+$16.5
Athletics vs. Marlinsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.92
Guardians vs. Blue Jaysbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+120.9%+$20.45
Red Sox vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$18.46
Twins vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$17.05
Cardinals vs. Redsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.64
Yankees vs. Oriolesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.13
Twins vs. Guardiansbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$24.64
Cardinals vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$11.41
Phillies vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.71
Rangers vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+86%+$12.21
Angels vs. Twinsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.31
Orioles vs. Tigersbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.03
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+100%+$19.82
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+110.1%+$25.99
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+98.3%+$18.78
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+100%+$19.71
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$11.28
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.81
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Metsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.98
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$14.59
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.91
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.08
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2025, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.82
Lightning vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$11.85
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.61
Lightning vs. Panthersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$20.71
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.03
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.44
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.52
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.89
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$22.61
Capitals vs. Penguinsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.14
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$10.36
Golden Knights vs. Flamesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.61
Capitals vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.19
Devils vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.41
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$13.26
Blue Jackets vs. Capitalsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$19.14
Wild vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.19
Blues vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$17.5
Islanders vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$16.31
Capitals vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.08
Red Wings vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$11.22
Senators vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+100%+$17.55
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.62
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$12.42
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+100%+$15.16
76ers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.02
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+26.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Delhi Capitals vs. Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.26
Kolkata Knight Riders vs. Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$34.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$10.36
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.