NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Senators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf59bb2f8bb6a8c6b91aebf30d005adb383b831f1107291a2c15e2b5b22b78faa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Maple Leafs, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $259,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $276,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $259,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 331 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 86,470$39,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,104.59 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Senators | 55c | 60,142$33,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,075.47 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 33,333$15,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,999.82 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 21,270$9,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,746.89 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Senators | 54c | 19,745$10,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,662.35 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Senators | 53c | 11,114$5,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,922.15 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Senators | 54c | 9,260$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000.4 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Senators | 53c | 8,897$4,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,758.79 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 8,095$3,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,187.5 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Senators | 54c | 7,956$4,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,296.24 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Senators | 51c | 7,537$3,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,851.43 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Senators | 53c | 7,500$3,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,990 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Senators | 54c | 5,825$3,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,145.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…ce6dbacked Senators | 51c | 5,656$2,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,884.49 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.36per pick | 48cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Senators | 55c | 5,025$2,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,773.39 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Senators | 55c | 4,858$2,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,671.91 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Senators | 54c | 4,788$2,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,591.38 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 4,500$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,380 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 3,837$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,293.82 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 3,635$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,963.05 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 3,462$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.23 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…48a9backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 2,713$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.53 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Senators | 54c | 2,621$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.41 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Senators | 54c | 2,500$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.33 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Senators | 54c | 2,463$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.96 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Senators | 54c | 2,400$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Senators | 48c | 2,369$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.7 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…560fbacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 2,289$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.81 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Senators | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Senators | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4727…aa86backed Senators | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Senators | 56c | 1,607$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,501$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.11 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Senators | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 1,470$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.62 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Senators | 42c | 1,270$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.22 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 1,200$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.99 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,172$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.12 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Senators | 54c | 1,087$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.18 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa068…9574backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,044$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.32 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Senators | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…0b7bbacked Senators | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…5cb9backed Senators | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf203…da24backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9da7…a3f8backed Senators | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Senators | 53c | 1,000$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.01 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2edf…8475backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 999.86$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Senators | 50c | 992.15$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.15 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Senators | 52c | 978.85$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Senators | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 427 | 51.1%218 W · 209 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Senators | 56c | 895.42$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Senators | 55c | 860$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec05…5fb3backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 834.53$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Senators | 54c | 809.94$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.13 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Senators | 53c | 717.34$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.19 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 700$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.5 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…00c2backed Senators | 53c | 689.29$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 603.87$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.09 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Senators | 51c | 599.99$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.99 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Senators | 54c | 569.99$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.79 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4af…d32cbacked Maple Leafs | 49c | 516.33$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…97a3backed Senators | 52c | 496.15$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Senators | 59c | 480.58$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.92 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3c…946cbacked Maple Leafs | 49c | 480$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Senators | 53c | 466.34$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.9 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1651…2f05backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…6df6backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 415.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.31 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…e633backed Senators | 52c | 403.85$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…ed49backed Senators | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd4…57f4backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 383.67$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Senators | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 355.98$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.79 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa3…181bbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 316.93$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.93 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Senators | 24c | 300$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a5…b434backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 255.84$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Senators | 56c | 253.18$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.78 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…e097backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 253.15$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.36 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.5 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 250$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…b01fbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 246.82$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…f71bbacked Senators | 55c | 240.4$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.22 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Senators | 56c | 223.21$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3320…3440backed Senators | 54c | 218.13$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1860…8344backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 213.92$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.45 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d1…a789backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 212.03$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.98 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…0336backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 208.42$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.97 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4110…42a9backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 208.16$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x352c…eb6cbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 207.93$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.64 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ac…6b02backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 206.56$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.03 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 206.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.16 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.