MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93d60d30633bd03fca7b05e030521748c86c9074fe59d338cb83a1615a21d0ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof Philadelphia Phillies, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 20,520$10,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,803.46 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5be…7c6ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 16,961$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked New York Mets | 47c | 10,070$4,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,336.4 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked New York Mets | 37c | 9,791$3,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,197.72 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed New York Mets | 57c | 5,571$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420.62 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…af0abacked New York Mets | 57c | 3,909$2,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.92 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 3,323$2,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,161 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked New York Mets | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Mets | 52c | 1,897$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.34 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 1,625$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.64 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed New York Mets | 48c | 1,500$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.99 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed New York Mets | 44c | 1,378$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.71 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed New York Mets | 47c | 1,005$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.73 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed New York Mets | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 1,000$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.56 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb322…2179backed New York Mets | 48c | 920.83$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.83 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed New York Mets | 48c | 839.58$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.58 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed New York Mets | 44c | 685.16$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.43 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed New York Mets | 59c | 650.45$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 439.92$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.76 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed New York Mets | 47c | 373.01$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.7 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed New York Mets | 47c | 291.72$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.31 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked New York Mets | 47c | 252$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.56 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked New York Mets | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed New York Mets | 32c | 195.15$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.95 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed New York Mets | 50c | 192.81$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 172.32$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.27 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 170.3$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.17 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…ccb7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 133$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 118.11$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked New York Mets | 66c | 114.4$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 25c | 96.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…9ce3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 88.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 62.95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed New York Mets | 63c | 59.68$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked New York Mets | 49c | 48.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed New York Mets | 65c | 45.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed New York Mets | 51c | 43.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c75…154abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 42.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed New York Mets | 47c | 41.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7f…c7a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked New York Mets | 48c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed New York Mets | 50c | 31.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed New York Mets | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0753…25b2backed New York Mets | 62c | 25.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…ecbfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 23.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b32…993dbacked New York Mets | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.