TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Senators vs. Blue Jackets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blue Jacketsof Senators, Blue Jackets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,703
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,653

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,703 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb00f…db97backed Senators56c32,401$18,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,0002737%10 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Blue Jackets44c17,365$7,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,697.1492848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Blue Jackets45c6,078$2,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,342.6411145.9%51 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Blue Jackets48c4,376$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,275.4949351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Senators37c3,577$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,33410546.7%49 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Senators53c3,214$1,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,703.361,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Blue Jackets45c3,168$1,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,729.4913845.7%63 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Senators51c3,099$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,580.316645.8%76 W · 90 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Blue Jackets49c3,030$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,545.330549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Blue Jackets47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,59024546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Blue Jackets45c2,500$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,374.951,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc70e…cc0dbacked Blue Jackets49c1,939$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.91875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+51.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Senators52c1,924$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.3623642.8%101 W · 135 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Blue Jackets49c1,908$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.0186649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf31…d3d1backed Senators51c1,908$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.01757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Senators54c1,600$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.9966951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e26…1715backed Senators53c1,524$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.722157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cc9…56d0backed Blue Jackets47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7954242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Blue Jackets46c1,429$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.71,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Senators8c1,223$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8717448.9%85 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Blue Jackets50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5005470.4%38 W · 16 L+6.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x45d7…1935backed Senators53c936.68$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006450%32 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Blue Jackets45c809.22$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.0784051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb2c…b96cbacked Senators53c754.72$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003138.7%12 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c38…b0e6backed Blue Jackets47c552$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05f0…3af5backed Senators53c551.87$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67e8…fa8fbacked Blue Jackets47c460$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+91.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Senators54c458$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.326850%34 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Blue Jackets47c451.49$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.2972847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Senators26c447.37$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1179750.5%49 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Blue Jackets46c439.15$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.6137738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa89f…6a27backed Senators51c431.37$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5945…98b0backed Blue Jackets46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69ad…48d1backed Senators52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Senators14c365.38$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.021,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Blue Jackets46c345.93$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.5119848.5%96 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Blue Jackets46c345.87$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.7729748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Blue Jackets45c330.77$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.261,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe278…21d6backed Senators54c330$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.2728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa99c…3070backed Senators20c302.01$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6029319.8%58 W · 235 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Senators52c299.98$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.4920649.5%102 W · 104 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x874d…ec29backed Senators55c263.64$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-70.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8645…09ccbacked Blue Jackets46c239.13$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.13616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-63.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8570…52b5backed Senators55c234.55$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1291154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Senators55c222$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.150857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Senators52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Senators15c180.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3591334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf587…222bbacked Senators55c165.45$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Blue Jackets44c133$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.4820942.6%89 W · 120 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Blue Jackets44c133$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.4860549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x206a…8e4fbacked Senators54c130$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.2714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.38per pick52cpaid-68.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac8…8a4fbacked Senators52c120.85$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.842236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-33.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x36db…9fd7backed Blue Jackets48c105.98$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1111751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x670d…7a84backed Senators52c104.27$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.22988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick61cpaid+51.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb0f…0444backed Senators52c103.1$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.61933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-38.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x75a2…8e7cbacked Blue Jackets50c100.74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.37560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+30.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Senators52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5235154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9242…a3bdbacked Blue Jackets45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+42.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7080…644bbacked Senators55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e80…791fbacked Senators62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-62.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e1f…3c49backed Blue Jackets41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7383…9194backed Blue Jackets45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.7wins+0.36per pick48cpaid+81.9%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xdcfa…f191backed Blue Jackets38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+46.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Blue Jackets47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539352.7%49 W · 44 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x596d…b567backed Senators55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc57b…73fbbacked Senators55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a64…bfd8backed Blue Jackets45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x187f…1bdebacked Senators59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Senators52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Senators52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe38c…1ddabacked Blue Jackets49c95.33$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.621258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a4…8935backed Blue Jackets50c92.54$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.271163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+38.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Senators55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509755.7%54 W · 43 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd73a…799abacked Senators52c90.9$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.271040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8eb…fe37backed Blue Jackets49c90.63$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.221258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf9f…624cbacked Blue Jackets46c90$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.634032.4%110 W · 230 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3418…d637backed Blue Jackets49c89.08$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.43633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-30.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b69…3c00backed Senators52c88.21$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bac…f7b1backed Senators52c82.06$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.67850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaae0…2f43backed Senators52c80.77$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-47.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x528e…4938backed Blue Jackets50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401080%8 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+48.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4736…33acbacked Senators62c80$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.61127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-46%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb6f…e453backed Blue Jackets38c80$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.61050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a30…e09cbacked Blue Jackets48c79.58$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.382466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Blue Jackets45c79$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0658346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Blue Jackets50c78$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3958467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Senators50c78$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3923462%145 W · 89 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0212…5e5bbacked Senators52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb92c…da18backed Senators52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-47.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9df2…1cf1backed Senators62c75$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.51136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16de…a5f2backed Blue Jackets38c75$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+73.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cc3…9098backed Senators55c70$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.51457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e54…ac23backed Senators62c70$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.41233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc80…abffbacked Blue Jackets38c70$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.41457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+27.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5453…414fbacked Blue Jackets45c70$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.51457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe584…fa16backed Senators54c64.06$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.592142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Blue Jackets45c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3313043.8%57 W · 73 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x18c8…19d4backed Senators62c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.21136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dd7…c328backed Senators55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e70…0907backed Blue Jackets45c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.