NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04c5bb9685f19cac8312c543164b70de94e8d7d50a9b162f849226c384353bab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Magic, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $156,895
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $187,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,895 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Hawks | 46c | 11,573$5,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,274.32 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Magic | 13c | 8,586$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.71 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…6591backed Hawks | 40c | 7,385$2,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,431 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Magic | 60c | 6,405$3,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,843 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…68eebacked Hawks | 44c | 6,136$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,436.16 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Magic | 56c | 5,088$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850.4 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Magic | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Hawks | 65c | 4,545$2,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.28 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Hawks | 46c | 4,017$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167.01 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Magic | 51c | 3,756$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915.71 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Hawks | 62c | 3,205$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.12 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Magic | 30c | 3,005$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.83 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb004…51b4backed Magic | 54c | 2,709$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Magic | 1c | 2,195$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Hawks | 60c | 1,778$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.8 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Hawks | 38c | 1,570$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.01 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Magic | 55c | 1,477$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.67 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Hawks | 50c | 1,438$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Hawks | 50c | 1,250$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Magic | 21c | 1,147$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.5 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3bc…cab7backed Magic | 26c | 1,038$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.91 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 40cpaid | +333.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Magic | 50c | 1,024$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Magic | 1c | 1,010$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Magic | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 173 | 56.6%98 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Magic | 56c | 1,000$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Magic | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Hawks | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Hawks | 55c | 967.84$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.53 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Hawks | 50c | 906$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.06 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Magic | 56c | 867$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.31 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb322…2179backed Magic | 50c | 830$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Magic | 62c | 700$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Hawks | 58c | 691.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.29 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Magic | 55c | 594.98$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.24 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Magic | 49c | 588.46$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.34 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Magic | 62c | 564.57$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.71 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hawks | 45c | 561.06$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.2 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…2067backed Magic | 24c | 419.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.78 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Magic | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36db…9fd7backed Hawks | 48c | 403.35$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.28 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Hawks | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Magic | 31c | 366.81$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Magic | 67c | 362.24$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.62 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Magic | 49c | 356.53$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.7 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Magic | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Hawks | 44c | 286.31$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.45 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Hawks | 70c | 275$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Magic | 38c | 274$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.38 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Magic | 5c | 271.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Magic | 51c | 268.2$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.78 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Magic | 54c | 258.74$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.78 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Hawks | 47c | 241.97$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.88 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Hawks | 50c | 239$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.21 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Magic | 50c | 226.42$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.89 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Hawks | 51c | 223.75$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.64 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Magic | 65c | 214.14$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.19 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…df44backed Hawks | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Hawks | 47c | 200$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Hawks | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 302 | 43.7%132 W · 170 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Magic | 57c | 189.19$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.75 | 210 | 56.2%118 W · 92 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Hawks | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f77ebacked Magic | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Magic | 11c | 172.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Magic | 27c | 170$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 122 | 22.1%27 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Hawks | 47c | 169.84$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.84 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b1…3a8abacked Hawks | 50c | 156$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…1067backed Magic | 50c | 156$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Hawks | 33c | 150$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Hawks | 40c | 145.61$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.41 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d93…8dfabacked Magic | 60c | 136.65$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Magic | 61c | 132.26$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Magic | 53c | 131.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.25 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Magic | 54c | 125.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.07 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Magic | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Magic | 59c | 119.56$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.54 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ed…3cc4backed Hawks | 42c | 118.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.52 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1880…fdc4backed Magic | 50c | 111$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5da5…fd6ebacked Hawks | 50c | 111$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Magic | 59c | 110.22$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.03 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Hawks | 40c | 108.08$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.85 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddda…328bbacked Hawks | 51c | 106.25$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed Hawks | 49c | 104.78$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.36 | 407 | 26%106 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Hawks | 51c | 103.7$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.82 | 333 | 48.9%163 W · 170 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40c…5f5dbacked Magic | 52c | 100.35$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Magic | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Magic | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Hawks | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 388 | 45.9%178 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6072…fb46backed Hawks | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Magic | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Magic | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Hawks | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef8…c573backed Magic | 60c | 99.83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 126 | 38.9%49 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd84e…f79fbacked Magic | 50c | 96.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…eadabacked Hawks | 51c | 95.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdf…8573backed Magic | 57c | 95$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfec…b651backed Magic | 50c | 91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c7…0058backed Hawks | 50c | 91$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c02…b4d4backed Hawks | 47c | 86.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 336 | 39%131 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Magic | 50c | 82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 273 | 59%161 W · 112 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…f2afbacked Magic | 58c | 79.59$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.