TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blue Jackets vs. Capitals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blue Jacketsof Blue Jackets, Capitals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$120,241
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$128,960

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,241 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe32e…890bbacked Blue Jackets41c39,603$16,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,358.0736242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Blue Jackets40c11,110$4,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,665.9731546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Capitals54c10,040$5,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,420.592848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Capitals76c9,034$6,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,865.625858.6%34 W · 24 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-15.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Capitals59c7,361$4,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,342.9930549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99b4…f541backed Blue Jackets43c6,477$2,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,698.78837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Capitals59c6,400$3,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,77649351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Capitals59c6,104$3,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,601.3213845.7%63 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Blue Jackets27c5,032$1,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,680.8758467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Capitals60c4,910$2,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,946.197361.6%45 W · 28 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+25.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Capitals57c4,628$2,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,638.1744848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f79…1608backed Blue Jackets42c4,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3204763.8%30 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8011…e98ebacked Blue Jackets24c3,837$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,913.729863.3%62 W · 36 L+13.2wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+27.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Capitals59c3,000$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,77039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Capitals59c3,000$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,77085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Capitals60c2,839$1,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,715.5824546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Capitals59c2,493$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.8984051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Capitals62c2,483$1,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,52931753.9%171 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Blue Jackets43c2,306$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.687634.2%26 W · 50 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jackets37c2,160$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.421,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x444e…ab89backed Blue Jackets41c1,707$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0071154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Blue Jackets45c1,660$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.745754.4%31 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Capitals59c1,539$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.6579251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd500…eb4fbacked Capitals58c1,500$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8701346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c7…e344backed Capitals58c1,500$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.911241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3219…4f05backed Blue Jackets42c1,488$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.042763%17 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b88…d628backed Capitals30c1,354$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4035534.5%19 W · 36 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Capitals53c1,324$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7005470.4%38 W · 16 L+6.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Capitals48c1,251$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60027958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa581…45b2backed Capitals61c1,250$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76513158.8%77 W · 54 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5295…d666backed Capitals42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f5…d81bbacked Capitals59c1,186$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.74837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Capitals59c1,100$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6499942.4%42 W · 57 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Capitals59c1,017$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.0372847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Capitals59c1,004$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.573,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Capitals59c999.99$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.9697651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Capitals59c995$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.0575155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Capitals58c544.93$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.281,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Capitals59c508.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30021750.2%109 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Capitals63c472.71$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.5128440.1%114 W · 170 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb47e…79e0backed Capitals59c469.49$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2772055%11 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Capitals59c465.95$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.6337738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Capitals60c370.17$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.5519848.5%96 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x73b8…aa92backed Capitals44c337.41$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018144.8%81 W · 100 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9b6b…4038backed Capitals61c315.97$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Blue Jackets41c292.7$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.719438.1%74 W · 120 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75aa…58f1backed Blue Jackets63c285.71$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.712544%11 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe658…072bbacked Capitals43c263.84$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Capitals4c263.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.554436.4%16 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Blue Jackets71c254.01$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.5285464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Blue Jackets41c243.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.311855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd33b…4e00backed Blue Jackets42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.115246.7%71 W · 81 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Capitals62c222$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.6450857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Blue Jackets47c215.7$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.9591334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6ac…957dbacked Capitals59c205$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.954650%23 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cd3…af0ebacked Blue Jackets70c198.54$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.612544%11 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked Capitals59c192$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.288932.6%29 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Capitals60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa191…7facbacked Capitals61c162.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002657.7%15 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Capitals60c160.83$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.941,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde18…19dcbacked Blue Jackets42c151.88$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.091770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+46.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfa8c…b66ebacked Blue Jackets42c147.62$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.624139%16 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Capitals59c141.99$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2158346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcab9…b983backed Blue Jackets42c126.12$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.15988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.35per pick54cpaid+64.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4e83…a4a0backed Capitals62c120.96$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510147.5%48 W · 53 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x866d…4d7dbacked Blue Jackets34c120$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.82025%5 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-36%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc574…13cebacked Capitals58c120$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62aa…116dbacked Blue Jackets42c120$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7fd…2e84backed Blue Jackets42c106.43$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.731573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+47.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x27a0…8068backed Blue Jackets42c105.71$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.312152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x848a…53dabacked Capitals59c101.59$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.942157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f87…5c55backed Blue Jackets42c101.33$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.772050%10 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Capitals60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6035154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e7…c4bdbacked Blue Jackets42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+37.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Blue Jackets28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7254418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Blue Jackets23c100$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778720.7%18 W · 69 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fc8…1a55backed Capitals59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c3b…08a3backed Capitals59c98.22$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.951741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0050…11adbacked Capitals59c97.9$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.762857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Capitals59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509755.7%54 W · 43 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Capitals60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Capitals59c82$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3823462%145 W · 89 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a74…5c6ebacked Capitals59c79.07$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.65944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8adb…0de9backed Capitals62c79.03$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb862…6dabbacked Blue Jackets42c78.19$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.352751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf643…fbf6backed Capitals59c73.78$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.532759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f40…3401backed Capitals58c73$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6063…01bfbacked Blue Jackets42c73$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x415a…d666backed Blue Jackets42c72.26$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.912857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd47…8277backed Blue Jackets24c70.83$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.835145.1%23 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Blue Jackets71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.422045%9 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x36d7…d545backed Blue Jackets42c69.1$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.082365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+37.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x49fa…e998backed Capitals59c68$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.121936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x169e…de26backed Blue Jackets70c64.81$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.185170.6%36 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c00…f2bcbacked Blue Jackets42c61.26$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.532462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Blue Jackets41c60.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9897955.5%543 W · 436 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8d4…ae49backed Blue Jackets67c59.4$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.45080%40 W · 10 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Capitals59c59.32$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3576450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ac1…2d6ebacked Capitals59c58.85$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.722853.6%15 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Capitals59c58.24$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3613846.4%64 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.