NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Wizards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88ce68d4f86bd1a9a8b6cd34732b6502477ac387615f05e8ab63aaa5cae77a63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 76ersof 76ers, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $228,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $251,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $228,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb00f…db97backed 76ers | 56c | 69,795$39,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,795.03 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Wizards | 44c | 19,985$8,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,833.92 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Wizards | 42c | 18,239$7,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,594.31 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 12c | 13,213$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.29 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Wizards | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.99 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Wizards | 24c | 7,940$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.17 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed 76ers | 54c | 7,076$3,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,242.9 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 46c | 5,992$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750.37 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Wizards | 42c | 5,257$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205.76 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed 76ers | 62c | 5,233$3,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,966.84 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed 76ers | 65c | 4,273$2,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.83 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Wizards | 31c | 3,485$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.1 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Wizards | 48c | 2,604$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Wizards | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.95 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Wizards | 45c | 2,303$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.1 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Wizards | 11c | 1,910$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.44 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Wizards | 4c | 1,750$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Wizards | 42c | 1,400$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.02 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Wizards | 48c | 1,400$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.96 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x556d…b07ebacked 76ers | 54c | 1,300$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb718…ba92backed Wizards | 46c | 1,300$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6e…2000backed 76ers | 64c | 1,274$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Wizards | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Wizards | 46c | 1,230$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.09 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Wizards | 40c | 1,189$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.91 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Wizards | 40c | 1,176$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.24 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Wizards | 44c | 1,171$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.2 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Wizards | 29c | 1,047$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.92 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Wizards | 1c | 1,010$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Wizards | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Wizards | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wizards | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…e9cdbacked 76ers | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa59d…281cbacked 76ers | 53c | 987.56$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2279…18adbacked 76ers | 54c | 963.48$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcad…5078backed 76ers | 76c | 954.67$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.12 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Wizards | 7c | 952.72$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.94 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Wizards | 45c | 891.22$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.79 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Wizards | 28c | 877$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.56 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Wizards | 45c | 875.6$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.64 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked 76ers | 56c | 852.18$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.74 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed 76ers | 57c | 749.67$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.1 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed 76ers | 55c | 722.85$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.85 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Wizards | 46c | 673$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.66 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked 76ers | 55c | 669.83$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.98 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x359f…d4c3backed Wizards | 48c | 604.35$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked 76ers | 56c | 537.43$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.43 | 92 | 66.3%61 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Wizards | 4c | 532$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb004…51b4backed Wizards | 28c | 521.43$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…bfacbacked 76ers | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Wizards | 9c | 500$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Wizards | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Wizards | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Wizards | 41c | 499.76$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.9 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Wizards | 46c | 489.48$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.16 | 333 | 48.9%163 W · 170 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Wizards | 46c | 431$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.26 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Wizards | 44c | 423.48$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.33 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Wizards | 44c | 410$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.4 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Wizards | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 347 | 47%163 W · 184 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9e…547dbacked 76ers | 78c | 400$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Wizards | 46c | 383.05$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.71 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Wizards | 47c | 383$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.34 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…4256backed 76ers | 55c | 382.45$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed 76ers | 53c | 375.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.13 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e4…e5c2backed Wizards | 48c | 375$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c4…a40abacked Wizards | 47c | 359.85$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…4068backed Wizards | 48c | 352.08$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7713…9c51backed 76ers | 67c | 348.54$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Wizards | 47c | 331.54$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.39 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c43…1f64backed 76ers | 58c | 315$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaf…1aaebacked Wizards | 42c | 315$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf696…f74bbacked Wizards | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59fb…ff6bbacked Wizards | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Wizards | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Wizards | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Wizards | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9970…6b92backed Wizards | 34c | 297.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Wizards | 5c | 277.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Wizards | 44c | 269$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.45 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Wizards | 44c | 269$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.45 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc78d…3c37backed Wizards | 20c | 250.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…a828backed 76ers | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked 76ers | 67c | 245$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.95 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wizards | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7605…4ec0backed Wizards | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…d1a7backed Wizards | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Wizards | 43c | 203$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.29 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a45…6b5fbacked 76ers | 53c | 201.89$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Wizards | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf587…222bbacked 76ers | 53c | 198.11$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe271…c150backed Wizards | 48c | 198.02$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef33…f331backed 76ers | 53c | 198.02$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e7…9cfbbacked 76ers | 54c | 197.04$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d92…6329backed Wizards | 47c | 197.02$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked 76ers | 59c | 194.88$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5228…fb0dbacked Wizards | 48c | 191.67$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed 76ers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3f…37a4backed 76ers | 56c | 188.13$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3c…883cbacked Wizards | 45c | 188.11$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…c25ebacked 76ers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.