TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-04-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,262
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,940

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,262 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9b6b…68eebacked No51c7,935$4,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,888.272454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+43.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked No51c4,647$2,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,300.1713857.2%79 W · 59 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes50c4,116$2,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,05841437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfe5…ee97backed Yes48c2,905$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,394.26560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No55c2,896$1,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,313.0779639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes49c2,626$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,286.9730851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes50c2,423$1,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,204.937341.1%30 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No53c2,077$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.3437652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No54c1,988$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.4432158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f3d…2adbbacked Yes48c1,699$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.723060%18 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes38c1,317$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.9979650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes48c1,210$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.7717837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9966…c10bbacked Yes49c1,100$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b7f…ed4dbacked No51c1,100$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes49c1,058$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.218045%36 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Yes38c1,007$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.897652.6%40 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005358.5%31 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2a6…a888backed Yes46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+46.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb94d…4402backed No54c980$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No50c960$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48083459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1225…3a54backed Yes46c910$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf52b…ff3fbacked Yes46c815$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.9560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa94e…c540backed Yes46c810$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.61050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5ad…0b30backed No54c785$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.1475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No51c699.99$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.994963.3%31 W · 18 L+6.6wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+26%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes49c681.63$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33424630.5%75 W · 171 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed Yes45c615.18$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2762236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29444939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30029044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41c…7123backed No54c515$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d79…f0d8backed No54c510$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.6560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e2…7709backed No54c490$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+135.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2563…f528backed No54c490$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.4475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+90.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed No51c451.95$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.9421445.8%98 W · 116 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013449.3%66 W · 68 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes49c404.08$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Yes46c393.66$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.089255.4%51 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No65c365.24$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.6616851.2%86 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011052.7%58 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked No52c282.35$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.5311454.4%62 W · 52 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc9bc…73b7backed Yes49c270.57$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.5820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57b9…7726backed Yes48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Yes49c220$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.314945%67 W · 82 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Yes49c204.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005635.7%20 W · 36 L-9.0wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-30.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfd47…8277backed Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009949.5%49 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb70b…4dc8backed Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+48.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2c4…a40abacked Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49dc…9830backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc258…447bbacked Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb377…f621backed No51c193.61$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.874143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6160…0210backed Yes46c185$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc00…d9e8backed Yes49c185$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6623…789dbacked Yes44c185$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick64cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes47c163.49$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.841,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc3d…498abacked Yes49c152$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.963630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x961a…78ccbacked No54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2031…d17bbacked Yes46c145$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No51c135$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.3440135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2033…3863backed No56c123$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.12728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadc1…bfedbacked No54c120$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae2…7e82backed No51c120$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x087b…95fcbacked No54c120$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025637.9%97 W · 159 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No51c106$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3259958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5042755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes50c104$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526139.3%24 W · 37 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No51c102.98$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4642048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026054.2%141 W · 119 L+1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4932736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xed1f…7a86backed Yes43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70ff…aa94backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013354.9%73 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c37…4e9bbacked Yes47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472552%13 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4b1…8660backed No54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5a5…9f24backed No54c95$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No57c93$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.966031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb553…a77bbacked Yes46c90$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd121…54c7backed Yes45c89.6$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No50c84$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4218752.9%99 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4839…43b5backed No54c75$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.54100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+112.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb93…77b9backed No54c75$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b7…83f5backed Yes49c72.39$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45a1…d31fbacked Yes49c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.35042%21 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92be…d717backed Yes51c67.14$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.247252.8%38 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes49c63.55$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1429238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x177a…c284backed Yes49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302045%9 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes36c61$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.963348.5%16 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+38.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0323…bd13backed Yes48c59.35$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.491643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x875b…d883backed Yes48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Yes48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514057.9%81 W · 59 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe019…018bbacked Yes49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258339.8%33 W · 50 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Yes35c50.73$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7138645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.515037.3%56 W · 94 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a26…7300backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012342.3%52 W · 71 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9c5…67e0backed Yes49c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.52450%12 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec89…3286backed Yes52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517146.8%80 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209938.4%38 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30d6…9ca0backed Yes47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209750.5%49 W · 48 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbdf…bdb3backed Yes50c42.12$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.061369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+62.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.