Premier League · resolved market
Will Everton win on 2025-04-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x588f9d08c61c1561afffea75c2c2761f18da969a964a036b8232672c38acfda1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,258
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,258 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Yes | 22c | 7,180$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,627.09 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed No | 79c | 6,618$5,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,223.44 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed No | 77c | 2,273$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 23c | 1,684$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.93 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 23c | 1,411$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.47 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 16c | 1,276$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.77 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 14c | 1,175$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.22 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed No | 2c | 1,104$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 54 | 13%7 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 15c | 1,066$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.87 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 23c | 714.39$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.08 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb8…af02backed No | 79c | 600$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes | 22c | 521$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.86 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked No | 76c | 499.98$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…bc89backed No | 79c | 316.46$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Yes | 21c | 254.64$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.17 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c20…2256backed No | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9598…255cbacked Yes | 27c | 243.26$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2033…3863backed No | 75c | 210$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 77c | 201$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.77 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed No | 79c | 181.67$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.52 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…a3ccbacked Yes | 22c | 135.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.83 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…b28abacked No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Yes | 29c | 115.15$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.76 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 22c | 103$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.34 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc264…6d35backed Yes | 23c | 103$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd132…2cb5backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…567bbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…342bbacked Yes | 24c | 99.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3e…271dbacked No | 76c | 95.25$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50d9…ab22backed Yes | 23c | 82.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f4…0834backed No | 76c | 79.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 76c | 76.58$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac26…d79cbacked No | 76c | 71.78$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e39…2b41backed Yes | 23c | 71.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 76c | 70$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…1601backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 24c | 66.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.65 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…3836backed No | 78c | 63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bb…8e9abacked Yes | 25c | 52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked No | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cf…f1c6backed No | 78c | 45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5003…a70cbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…1e43backed No | 79c | 25.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 75c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd47c…c665backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…af26backed No | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…013cbacked No | 79c | 15.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…a823backed No | 80c | 14.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Everton win on 2025-04-12?this page
- Will Nottingham Forest vs. Everton end in a draw?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-04-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.