TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Capitals vs. Blue Jackets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blue Jacketsof Capitals, Blue Jackets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,081
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,120

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,081 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 310 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbb58…86a4backed Capitals56c20,832$11,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,655.1931753.9%171 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Blue Jackets40c9,407$3,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,624.9436242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Blue Jackets50c9,330$4,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,675.2992848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Capitals49c8,154$3,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,993.7413845.7%63 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Capitals50c5,014$2,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50713754%74 W · 63 L+9.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Blue Jackets57c4,726$2,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,051.517448.9%85 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Capitals50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00024546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Blue Jackets50c3,679$1,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,822.1411354%61 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Blue Jackets50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Blue Jackets49c2,504$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.8230549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Blue Jackets46c2,183$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.411,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd500…eb4fbacked Capitals53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0601346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3219…4f05backed Blue Jackets47c1,994$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.822763%17 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Blue Jackets50c1,732$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.0479251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Blue Jackets50c1,513$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.9837738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa39…822ebacked Capitals3c1,485$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451020%2 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid+26.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Blue Jackets51c1,357$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.9572847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Blue Jackets48c1,315$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.5184051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Blue Jackets48c1,201$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.7286649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa581…45b2backed Capitals1c1,100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1113158.8%77 W · 54 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Capitals49c1,000$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.1885148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jackets76c908.73$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.373,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45d7…1935backed Capitals59c847.46$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006450%32 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Blue Jackets44c837.95$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.2597651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Capitals18c799.97$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.919548.2%94 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Capitals56c694.06$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.0928440.1%114 W · 170 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Capitals55c629.96$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.7866951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Capitals51c600$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30481846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed Capitals50c546$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2731546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Blue Jackets51c466.18$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.439747.4%46 W · 51 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Capitals2c454.13$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.151895.3%10 W · 179 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Capitals53c430.99$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.4375155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Blue Jackets47c425.07$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.0614844.6%66 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Capitals50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021750.2%109 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Blue Jackets52c371.99$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.1719848.5%96 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Capitals55c371.91$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.559750.5%49 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd33b…4e00backed Blue Jackets51c362.75$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.7515246.7%71 W · 81 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Capitals53c349.96$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.4820649.5%102 W · 104 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x637d…2392backed Capitals58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Blue Jackets54c328.59$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.159550.5%48 W · 47 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8479…bf1bbacked Capitals50c282.78$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab34…29bbbacked Capitals50c282.18$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf618…bf1ebacked Blue Jackets51c282.18$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa68…2bb3backed Blue Jackets51c271.78$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x172b…e2cdbacked Capitals54c259.26$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Capitals33c248.03$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7691334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Capitals58c242.74$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.981,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e1f…b413backed Capitals50c224.76$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x562b…1e82backed Blue Jackets51c224.75$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Capitals49c222$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.7850857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked Capitals54c222$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.887240.3%29 W · 43 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6fe1…9ffabacked Capitals50c212.88$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa735…0d16backed Blue Jackets51c212.86$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Blue Jackets49c205.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.6335349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Capitals50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005843.1%25 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2c4…a40abacked Blue Jackets51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.083154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Blue Jackets44c186.38$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.2860741%249 W · 358 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa8c…b66ebacked Capitals54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004139%16 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9710…f3e1backed Capitals55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Capitals56c179.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Blue Jackets51c173$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.3658346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Capitals58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b9c…2256backed Blue Jackets43c170$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.91338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Blue Jackets60c163.72$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2358467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x1a04…7fdabacked Blue Jackets43c160$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.21656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e4f…894abacked Capitals57c160$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.21136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8862…548abacked Capitals56c159$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.041250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x213e…4728backed Blue Jackets44c159$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.041050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1bd…de55backed Capitals59c155$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.451163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdaaf…ff05backed Blue Jackets41c155$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.45812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick42cpaid-69.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7a3…95debacked Blue Jackets40c150$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecd…2818backed Capitals60c150$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-32%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4379…49b2backed Capitals57c150$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36db…9fd7backed Capitals53c150$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.511751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Blue Jackets44c136.1$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.2129748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd02a…c712backed Capitals25c134.08$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0538744.2%171 W · 216 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc3…9098backed Blue Jackets43c130$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.11457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd834…92d1backed Capitals57c130$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.11233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc471…72a3backed Blue Jackets46c129.25$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.25683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick57cpaid+52.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4ea…83c8backed Blue Jackets48c121.85$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.823100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+82.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a47…6c48backed Capitals60c120$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+37%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8035…1d67backed Capitals57c120$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-39.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x80ed…0388backed Blue Jackets43c120$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.41080%8 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+53.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd9ef…7916backed Blue Jackets40c120$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-54.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8c7…f4dbbacked Capitals54c118.65$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a1f…f484backed Blue Jackets47c118$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x630b…1303backed Capitals65c118$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcaca…cce7backed Blue Jackets35c118$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7204…7e47backed Capitals53c118$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b71…32d9backed Blue Jackets40c117$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.21172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.26per pick47cpaid+57%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x36cb…9068backed Capitals60c117$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.21118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.9wins-0.35per pick53cpaid-69.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Blue Jackets52c115.27$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3321255.7%118 W · 94 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecb0…ef4abacked Blue Jackets40c115$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691080%8 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+75.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4532…44abbacked Capitals60c115$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dc9…acc3backed Blue Jackets35c115$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea62…d53fbacked Capitals65c115$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6c…d472backed Capitals54c113.91$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5130%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe347…5051backed Blue Jackets47c112.68$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.72450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6715…0b0abacked Blue Jackets47c112$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a64…bfd8backed Blue Jackets43c112$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.841258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.