NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73211dfb8a3efddec03291ebd8307f41860009719a064e96000a4f5893bea752
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panthersof Maple Leafs, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 7,581$3,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,665.39 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…db97backed Panthers | 49c | 7,104$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,603.84 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Panthers | 49c | 6,322$3,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,239.37 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Panthers | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 4,289$1,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.76 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 4,284$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Panthers | 48c | 3,500$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.99 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Panthers | 49c | 3,140$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.34 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Panthers | 61c | 2,139$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.34 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb01b…c5c1backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 2,115$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Panthers | 59c | 2,000$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.73 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Maple Leafs | 21c | 1,932$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.63 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 1,617$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.97 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,600$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.67 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,516$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,439$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.74 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8acf…0dcebacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,414$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,261$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.64 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Panthers | 52c | 1,208$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.2 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Maple Leafs | 25c | 1,079$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.81 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac9…9678backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 1,007$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.12 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Maple Leafs | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9b…ae7ebacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 904$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2590…8dffbacked Panthers | 48c | 904$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 762.13$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.31 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Panthers | 54c | 757.83$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.33 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 720.3$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.73 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 661$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Maple Leafs | 24c | 613.47$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.48 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 599.99$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 500.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.34 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Maple Leafs | 16c | 489$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.24 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 463.98$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.27 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd211…628bbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 403.85$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7605…4ec0backed Panthers | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 328$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.56 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d74…2ff4backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 307.69$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Maple Leafs | 19c | 287.46$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a65…e883backed Panthers | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 69cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Maple Leafs | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…49b2backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 227.97$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 222$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.44 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 143.88$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.94 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 129.13$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.31 | 284 | 40.1%114 W · 170 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcac…5832backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 124.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82f1…d3f7backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf982…6d66backed Panthers | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c1…d1a4backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 112$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d76…8a7ebacked Panthers | 49c | 112$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…e129backed Panthers | 49c | 111$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…fb55backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 111$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd392…4aaebacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 107$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5553…1d78backed Panthers | 49c | 107$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac1…2d6ebacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 103.68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 600 | 42.8%257 W · 343 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb597…4ef9backed Panthers | 51c | 98.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4480…4ebcbacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 96.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9711…59a2backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 92.31$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x060f…55eebacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 92.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4142…4fb0backed Panthers | 51c | 90.63$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c8…81fcbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…5042backed Panthers | 55c | 88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed30…b257backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 87.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87eb…8f8ebacked Panthers | 61c | 86.41$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…5ce0backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…157dbacked Panthers | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeedb…304ebacked Panthers | 58c | 79.12$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…c100backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa706…c0f2backed Panthers | 49c | 78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd8…cde6backed Panthers | 61c | 73.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb817…a791backed Panthers | 49c | 73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e0…2c90backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74f…394fbacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 72.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…8546backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 71.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x982b…e3f3backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 70.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a6…6d23backed Panthers | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 288 | 53.1%153 W · 135 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58ff…78d5backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45f2…1506backed Panthers | 50c | 61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbebe…b4debacked Panthers | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…9f6bbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f17…deb9backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 50.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 49.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee6e…b859backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 49.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec4f…a9babacked Panthers | 49c | 49.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x415a…d666backed Panthers | 61c | 46.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2871…2f3dbacked Panthers | 58c | 45.45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d7…d545backed Panthers | 61c | 45.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf78…b82dbacked Panthers | 61c | 44.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcb…a70ebacked Panthers | 61c | 43.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5801…1b79backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 42.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.