TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb01b…c5c1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
31
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NFL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 55 out of 100; worst Mls at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+41.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$21.7
Magic vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$55
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.02
Suns vs. Spursbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,709Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$1,709.03
Will Stephon Castle win the 2025 NBA Slam Dunk Contest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$344.5
Will Andre Jackson Jr. win the 2025 NBA Slam Dunk Contest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$166.49
Will Tyler Herro win the 2025 NBA 3-Point Contest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+545%+$599.93
Will Damian Lillard win the 2025 NBA 3-Point Contest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$345
Clippers vs. Jazzbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$608Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+31.6%+$191.99
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+284.6%+$1,110
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$467Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$466.88
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$642Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+59.2%+$379.94
Spurs vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+31.6%+$142.11
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+81.8%+$540
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$771Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+29.9%+$230.39
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+31.6%+$72
All 16 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick24cpaid+233.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aces vs Wingsbacked Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.27
Mercury vs Lynxbacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.3
Fever vs Sunbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$181.53
All 3 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Poker — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Wasnock win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$268.71
Will Braxton Dunaway win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,499Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$705.6
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+61.3%+$315.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon: Tarvet vs. Alcaraz backed Tarvet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$129.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $116-124m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$86
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.