NFL · resolved market
Will the Browns draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6d4d2b87f5f7e4285c91c8a03f423ebe7d2c662c8cb0f33982fa029ebf93cd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $213,895
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $214,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,895 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x354f…03ebbacked No | 79c | 50,653$40,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,015.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb642…166bbacked Yes | 21c | 50,653$10,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,015.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 0c | 40,003$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +630%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 14cpaid | +520.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f9…9aefbacked No | 0c | 10,660$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 45c | 3,501$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938.84 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc9…2b7ebacked No | 54c | 3,300$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1977…32e8backed Yes | 57c | 1,272$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.12 | 199 | 48.2%96 W · 103 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc451…d78cbacked Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfd…2449backed No | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42f0…c09cbacked Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a2…adc9backed Yes | 23c | 990$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a46…a5c5backed Yes | 23c | 985$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.74per pick | 27cpaid | +284.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6623…789dbacked No | 77c | 975$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…1ebbbacked Yes | 23c | 957.92$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.6 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d62…f8eabacked No | 79c | 875$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb741…b462backed Yes | 23c | 870$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 38cpaid | +213.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1231…27e8backed Yes | 23c | 855$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +185%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78c0…5783backed No | 77c | 745$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d9…96e0backed Yes | 21c | 730$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +166.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…3e37backed No | 77c | 675$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8142…b413backed Yes | 23c | 665$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…a6d3backed No | 77c | 570$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 77cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fe…3418backed No | 77c | 540$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4622…a640backed Yes | 23c | 530$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…f34fbacked Yes | 23c | 460$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a78…6777backed No | 77c | 360$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3521…8441backed No | 77c | 340$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6858…9b50backed No | 77c | 325$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebc…17c5backed No | 77c | 300$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f5…4495backed Yes | 23c | 295$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 24cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 80c | 292.24$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.35 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb0…3356backed Yes | 22c | 240$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked Yes | 64c | 230.89$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.12 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed No | 77c | 228$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.5 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01b…c5c1backed Yes | 13c | 225$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +233.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca1…8c73backed No | 78c | 210$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 27c | 208.4$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.87 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked No | 73c | 202$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.71 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…3075backed No | 77c | 185$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4128…5165backed No | 77c | 170$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…a755backed No | 77c | 160$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked No | 76c | 150$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 28c | 141.17$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8017…d7debacked No | 77c | 135$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda86…8796backed No | 77c | 130$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bde…a062backed No | 77c | 130$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1e…6623backed No | 77c | 130$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb67c…189ebacked No | 77c | 130$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yes | 64c | 127.24$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d5…ccc7backed No | 77c | 125$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5c…3898backed No | 77c | 125$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…9d46backed No | 77c | 125$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84e7…9acdbacked No | 79c | 120$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb252…70a1backed Yes | 23c | 115$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 55c | 109.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dca…48b9backed No | 72c | 108.4$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed Yes | 28c | 108.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…698bbacked No | 77c | 105$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed No | 48c | 104.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…ef50backed Yes | 72c | 98.62$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 43c | 96.57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Yes | 39c | 95.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 72c | 94.96$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22eb…ad17backed No | 69c | 94.34$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc15d…be4abacked No | 77c | 90$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x401a…d730backed No | 50c | 79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4765…c9a0backed Yes | 21c | 66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1636…e45fbacked No | 79c | 66$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93f…1e30backed Yes | 77c | 65.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…4b0fbacked No | 64c | 62.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadcd…1549backed Yes | 23c | 62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1283…c880backed No | 77c | 60$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd32d…3c32backed Yes | 24c | 59.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 29c | 58.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b95…5beebacked Yes | 37c | 54.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +173.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 40c | 53.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24cb…94dcbacked No | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabd…c68fbacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ced…b02bbacked Yes | 43c | 47.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f6…d90ebacked Yes | 23c | 45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb9…1e9abacked No | 77c | 45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b0…f9a8backed No | 76c | 42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 60c | 38.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 29c | 36.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd620…f1fdbacked No | 77c | 35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…b291backed No | 77c | 32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…522dbacked No | 79c | 30.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7364…d44ebacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…5e5ebacked No | 77c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eaa…753ebacked No | 77c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56b8…4cdbbacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes | 57c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x186d…07f2backed No | 79c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0b…18f1backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92bd…019dbacked No | 77c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…95a8backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa41e…d491backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7873…a477backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Browns draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?this page
- Will Shedeur Sanders not be drafted in the 2025 NFL Draft?No won
- Will another team draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?No won
- Will the Giants draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?No won
- Will the Jets draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?No won
- Will the Patriots draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?No won
- Will the Raiders draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?No won
- Will the Saints draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?No won
- Will the Steelers draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.