NFL · resolved market
Will the Giants draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2d0f5dfb9987c8d3a9a904663b86ebcbdfc12cdb8789d9b8d683048d07dbca7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,519
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,519 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6337…1ebbbacked Yes | 27c | 1,405$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.19 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…a6d3backed No | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 77cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…ef50backed Yes | 1c | 943.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f0…c09cbacked Yes | 21c | 855$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4311…af56backed No | 76c | 830$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7538…403cbacked Yes | 21c | 765$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe760…0ae4backed No | 79c | 645$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa345…55afbacked Yes | 21c | 600$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f5…b6e9backed Yes | 24c | 560$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f6…d90ebacked Yes | 24c | 545$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fab…485cbacked No | 79c | 505$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4128…5165backed No | 76c | 435$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed No | 58c | 428.99$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.04 | 283 | 37.8%107 W · 176 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7503…212bbacked No | 79c | 325$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe151…d3c4backed Yes | 24c | 320$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…05cebacked Yes | 21c | 310$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e1…64dbbacked No | 76c | 305$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1379…2548backed Yes | 24c | 260$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bef…fd0abacked Yes | 21c | 170$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe357…e06dbacked No | 79c | 170$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…a755backed No | 76c | 170$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked No | 71c | 150$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed No | 64c | 144.5$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f70…90d9backed No | 76c | 130$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…ff73backed No | 76c | 130$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c2…3888backed Yes | 21c | 125$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d9…96e0backed No | 79c | 125$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +166.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked No | 68c | 124.09$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.83 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa782…0c57backed No | 79c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 73c | 104.82$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c00…b206backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 78c | 90.67$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e83…2cbebacked Yes | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…dcd2backed Yes | 28c | 57.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…b88ebacked Yes | 24c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…6ed0backed No | 67c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80c5…168abacked Yes | 53c | 37.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb907…63f2backed No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 80c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…ce9dbacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf123…686fbacked No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 77 | 18.2%14 W · 63 L | -11.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Giants draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?this page
- Will Shedeur Sanders not be drafted in the 2025 NFL Draft?No won
- Will another team draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?No won
- Will the Browns draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?Yes won
- Will the Jets draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?No won
- Will the Patriots draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?No won
- Will the Raiders draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?No won
- Will the Saints draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?No won
- Will the Steelers draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.