NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x618564c15d11eab5451cf2c0418f7d26a6cf79861b04b57c0920a2cac2c44e24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Spurs, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $343,288
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $393,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $343,288 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 333 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Spurs | 24c | 25,466$6,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,111.94 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Spurs | 25c | 24,893$6,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,242.4 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Celtics | 76c | 20,473$15,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,963.5 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Spurs | 21c | 14,631$3,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,075.6 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…b199backed Spurs | 0c | 10,590$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Spurs | 3c | 9,847$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.91 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Spurs | 25c | 7,550$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.48 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…2acabacked Spurs | 9c | 6,937$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.77 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 36cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Spurs | 24c | 6,388$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.75 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked Spurs | 5c | 6,295$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 48 | 2.1%1 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -67%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Celtics | 77c | 5,662$4,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.61 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Spurs | 5c | 5,621$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.64 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Celtics | 75c | 5,100$3,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Spurs | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Spurs | 6c | 4,950$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Celtics | 76c | 4,206$3,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.51 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Spurs | 20c | 3,750$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Celtics | 76c | 3,000$2,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.18 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Spurs | 3c | 3,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Spurs | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Spurs | 27c | 2,819$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.9 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Celtics | 76c | 2,618$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.38 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Spurs | 18c | 2,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Spurs | 30c | 2,426$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.17 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Celtics | 74c | 2,196$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.38 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Spurs | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Celtics | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Spurs | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4999…5fcebacked Celtics | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -5.6wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -61%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Spurs | 2c | 1,998$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…279fbacked Celtics | 76c | 1,879$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.63 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd334…fcc2backed Spurs | 27c | 1,877$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 247 | 25.9%64 W · 183 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Celtics | 76c | 1,837$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.58 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…b2dabacked Celtics | 76c | 1,800$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Spurs | 24c | 1,705$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.2 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Spurs | 23c | 1,628$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.44 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Spurs | 24c | 1,627$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.48 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Spurs | 1c | 1,592$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Spurs | 7c | 1,489$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.16 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Celtics | 73c | 1,359$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.05 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Celtics | 76c | 1,359$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.21 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…adb7backed Celtics | 79c | 1,283$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.67 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef3…d60ebacked Spurs | 24c | 1,209$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Celtics | 76c | 1,205$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.11 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Spurs | 4c | 1,162$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Celtics | 71c | 1,148$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.82 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc04d…69e7backed Celtics | 75c | 1,062$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.34 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Spurs | 23c | 1,060$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.47 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Spurs | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Spurs | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Spurs | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x853a…f509backed Spurs | 27c | 1,000$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x837c…bfeebacked Spurs | 21c | 999.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Celtics | 75c | 999.99$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Celtics | 75c | 999.99$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Spurs | 24c | 999.91$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.98 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Celtics | 76c | 999.03$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.78 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Spurs | 23c | 990.35$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.26 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Celtics | 74c | 969.57$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.52 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Celtics | 76c | 868.3$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.39 | 275 | 46.9%129 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e9…f464backed Spurs | 9c | 836.42$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b31…470bbacked Spurs | 23c | 806.82$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.57 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Spurs | 23c | 804.53$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.17 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…7ff3backed Celtics | 77c | 800$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Spurs | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Spurs | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccda…4988backed Spurs | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed Celtics | 76c | 789.49$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.49 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Spurs | 25c | 788.88$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.22 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Spurs | 21c | 726.32$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…2a60backed Spurs | 25c | 719.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.7 | 456 | 47.8%218 W · 238 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…6063backed Celtics | 76c | 659.7$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac56…5b67backed Celtics | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Celtics | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Spurs | 25c | 599.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.65 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01b…c5c1backed Celtics | 76c | 592.11$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.11 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe20…4d3ebacked Spurs | 24c | 578.74$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.9 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.25per pick | 40cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…3c3abacked Spurs | 3c | 573.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Spurs | 24c | 557.45$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.87 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Celtics | 73c | 532.42$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.75 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Celtics | 77c | 528.09$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.46 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Spurs | 12c | 515$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Celtics | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Spurs | 24c | 499.96$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Celtics | 77c | 496.36$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.16 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x605c…4426backed Celtics | 77c | 495.67$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Celtics | 76c | 478.95$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.95 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Spurs | 5c | 408.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Spurs | 25c | 400.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…43a5backed Celtics | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf645…b8c2backed Spurs | 5c | 399.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…0ee5backed Celtics | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Spurs | 24c | 375.31$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.07 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Spurs | 4c | 370.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…a03bbacked Celtics | 77c | 348.07$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.56 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Celtics | 73c | 341.04$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.08 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Spurs | 22c | 341$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.02 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d66…89c4backed Celtics | 74c | 334.69$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.02 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…da67backed Celtics | 75c | 330.07$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.22 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Spurs | 24c | 320$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 366 | 43.2%158 W · 208 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.