Poker · resolved market
Will John Wasnock win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a63de1658fc2bb962da2df3e15a493e646257e4649592fb9362d4b98cba983c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Pokerevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $260,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $218,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $260,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Poker is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Poker | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed Yes | 9c | 57,891$5,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,305.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fee…0814backed Yes | 0c | 34,872$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x140a…c075backed Yes | 10c | 29,292$3,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,044.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd19c…f16bbacked Yes | 11c | 26,707$2,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,870.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 12c | 15,034$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Yes | 13c | 8,507$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Yes | 10c | 4,409$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 12c | 3,501$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.16 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 15c | 3,433$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 15c | 3,100$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb01b…c5c1backed Yes | 10c | 2,786$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed7c…da06backed Yes | 14c | 2,415$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 10c | 2,407$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 2,352$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 48 | 0%0 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 15c | 2,350$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.21 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Yes | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Yes | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f96…5f52backed Yes | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Yes | 11c | 1,409$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 12c | 1,156$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.58 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf75…29c6backed Yes | 10c | 1,014$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abf…6024backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e7…c7c7backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6a…c011backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabc…a190backed Yes | 14c | 879.13$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 13c | 807.36$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6359…de88backed Yes | 16c | 714.65$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ca…4faebacked Yes | 15c | 662.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Yes | 16c | 626$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa696…b081backed Yes | 7c | 617.79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 14c | 605.12$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…4b76backed Yes | 14c | 579.04$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…e9cbbacked Yes | 14c | 545.16$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4340…0202backed Yes | 11c | 544.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a24…71e8backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f64…32b3backed Yes | 9c | 495$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 12c | 448.11$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x093d…766fbacked Yes | 11c | 404$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 12cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…9640backed Yes | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d1…5129backed Yes | 16c | 395.13$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2b…97b2backed Yes | 14c | 360$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 10c | 289.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…e147backed Yes | 15c | 221$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 9c | 210$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb62a…dffcbacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +150.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 12c | 195$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa677…7d76backed Yes | 7c | 165.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…ca45backed Yes | 10c | 158.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed Yes | 13c | 124$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…4eccbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16a…3c93backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfc…edb9backed Yes | 25c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Poker and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will John Wasnock win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?this page
- Will Adam Hendrix win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?No won
- Will Braxton Dunaway win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?No won
- Will Daehyung Lee win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?No won
- Will Jarod Minghini win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?No won
- Will Kenny Hallaert win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?No won
- Will Leo Margets win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?No won
- Will Luka Bojovic win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?No won
- Will Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.