NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Utah
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3cdbff8d3b5445612ab1e04261e42f792425325a265665b4086f0fb078350bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utahof Kraken, Utah
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Utah | 68c | 4,713$3,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Kraken | 32c | 4,542$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.36 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Kraken | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01b…c5c1backed Utah | 68c | 2,205$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Utah | 67c | 1,551$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.92 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Utah | 69c | 1,002$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.65 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Kraken | 33c | 999.98$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Utah | 69c | 776.52$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.72 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Kraken | 33c | 757.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Utah | 68c | 735.28$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9011…311cbacked Kraken | 33c | 700$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Kraken | 29c | 686.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Utah | 68c | 626$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.32 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Utah | 67c | 616.42$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.42 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Kraken | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Utah | 74c | 601.54$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.4 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Utah | 67c | 599.93$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.98 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Kraken | 33c | 575.76$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Kraken | 32c | 506.28$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.57 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Utah | 68c | 439.95$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.51 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ed…ca2bbacked Utah | 68c | 426.47$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Kraken | 26c | 385$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…021fbacked Kraken | 32c | 330.22$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.67 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8896…7d78backed Utah | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 70 | 71.4%50 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7920…74bdbacked Utah | 68c | 273.53$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Utah | 67c | 235.93$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.43 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Utah | 67c | 222$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.26 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Utah | 67c | 220.41$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.81 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Utah | 75c | 215.68$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.02 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Kraken | 33c | 181.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Kraken | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Utah | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Utah | 70c | 143.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Utah | 67c | 123$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 234 | 62%145 W · 89 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Utah | 69c | 122$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 208 | 61.5%128 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Kraken | 34c | 120.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e1…3095backed Kraken | 31c | 105$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Kraken | 37c | 102$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67fb…66dbbacked Kraken | 38c | 102$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8122…df0abacked Utah | 63c | 102$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219f…1113backed Kraken | 26c | 101.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Utah | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Utah | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab1…0f05backed Kraken | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fd…fdfebacked Kraken | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…892dbacked Utah | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Kraken | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 600 | 42.8%257 W · 343 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Utah | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd8…2cf0backed Kraken | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc970…a19bbacked Kraken | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Kraken | 33c | 88.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 157 | 30.6%48 W · 109 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1789…74afbacked Kraken | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…5a2cbacked Utah | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1acc…0180backed Utah | 68c | 75.35$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94ef…4322backed Utah | 69c | 75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…8529backed Kraken | 31c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4743…f0bebacked Kraken | 33c | 74.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Utah | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea4…c579backed Kraken | 33c | 70.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…3282backed Utah | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb158…05ebbacked Kraken | 31c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.28per pick | 55cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Kraken | 33c | 69.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb103…b1dbbacked Utah | 68c | 68.26$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ef…d9f3backed Kraken | 33c | 66.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…34bfbacked Kraken | 31c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63a2…6257backed Utah | 69c | 65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 53cpaid | +112.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Kraken | 32c | 64.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d88…c912backed Utah | 61c | 62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f4…5275backed Kraken | 39c | 62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Kraken | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…3917backed Kraken | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a6…6d23backed Utah | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 288 | 53.1%153 W · 135 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc22d…1e04backed Utah | 69c | 55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0c…04cbbacked Utah | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -7.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -43%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Utah | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 397 | 57.2%227 W · 170 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Utah | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…b078backed Kraken | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Kraken | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 284 | 40.1%114 W · 170 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Utah | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…96b7backed Utah | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Utah | 68c | 20.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 138 | 60.9%84 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d02…8eefbacked Utah | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x257f…12fcbacked Utah | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…56d0backed Utah | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ec…e602backed Utah | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ea…1726backed Utah | 70c | 18.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…d647backed Utah | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2377…11b0backed Utah | 69c | 16.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…aea7backed Utah | 69c | 15.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…7d99backed Utah | 68c | 15.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ab…cfcebacked Utah | 69c | 14.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.