NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Nets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf354c9ffd0d1423d3be5f702355fd11a5b7e5b72d6154b80a23779a3cc7bf4b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Netsof Magic, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $263,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $258,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $263,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 434 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Nets | 53c | 109,908$58,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,656.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Magic | 47c | 86,440$40,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,593.97 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Magic | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,799.96 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Nets | 63c | 8,155$5,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,034.17 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Magic | 51c | 6,306$3,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,216.76 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Magic | 0c | 6,170$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9758…536dbacked Magic | 42c | 5,953$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Magic | 49c | 3,050$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.42 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Nets | 51c | 3,000$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.65 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Nets | 53c | 2,601$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.56 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Nets | 55c | 2,523$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.38 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Magic | 55c | 2,157$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.3 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Nets | 65c | 2,100$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.34 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Nets | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Nets | 55c | 1,998$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.1 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Magic | 18c | 1,957$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.24 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Magic | 1c | 1,926$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Magic | 45c | 1,820$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Magic | 25c | 1,628$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c23…f642backed Magic | 56c | 1,360$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…bb3fbacked Nets | 44c | 1,360$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Magic | 2c | 1,356$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Magic | 53c | 1,149$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.1 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8083…4a0bbacked Magic | 27c | 1,088$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Magic | 46c | 1,061$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.86 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Magic | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Nets | 54c | 965.13$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.96 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Magic | 45c | 918.72$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.42 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Nets | 54c | 883.27$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.38 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Magic | 52c | 820.72$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.46 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Magic | 48c | 659.73$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.85 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba73…e538backed Magic | 15c | 630$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.35 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Magic | 48c | 625.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca8…3e59backed Magic | 44c | 600.14$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.36 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Nets | 45c | 520$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd5…c889backed Magic | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Nets | 62c | 467.35$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.35 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nets | 60c | 466.53$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.56 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Nets | 44c | 430.18$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.9 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nets | 46c | 366.89$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.89 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Magic | 33c | 359.64$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Nets | 44c | 340$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.4 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Magic | 46c | 328.26$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3739…e9aabacked Nets | 57c | 328.07$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Magic | 53c | 324.34$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.9 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Nets | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Magic | 51c | 299.56$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.04 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Magic | 18c | 250$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Magic | 47c | 250$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.7 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Magic | 46c | 228$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.88 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Magic | 45c | 222.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nets | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Nets | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…8b1dbacked Nets | 53c | 221$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.87 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Magic | 37c | 220.05$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.42 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Nets | 54c | 218$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.28 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…cefebacked Magic | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Magic | 49c | 200.06$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.53 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30be…3566backed Nets | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf716…c440backed Nets | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c2…0705backed Nets | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ee…7fb2backed Nets | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbe…fbe3backed Nets | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…bd2ebacked Nets | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4f…2737backed Nets | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd5…a72abacked Magic | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…ed65backed Magic | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa444…c492backed Nets | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc909…6393backed Nets | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…8938backed Magic | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a7…b4c8backed Magic | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf5…ee08backed Nets | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a54…7d39backed Nets | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…9abcbacked Magic | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafbd…67aebacked Nets | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb75…bd65backed Nets | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1379backed Nets | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…06b5backed Nets | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…88d1backed Nets | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25a5…81f4backed Magic | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -39%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d59…569ebacked Nets | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e57…836cbacked Magic | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…8149backed Nets | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28d5…7f11backed Nets | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b6…d335backed Nets | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…2883backed Nets | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72d…aa23backed Magic | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc312…d500backed Nets | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe807…344ebacked Magic | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12de…d4b5backed Nets | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…12acbacked Nets | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a1…8edfbacked Magic | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e2…7de9backed Nets | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x977e…910bbacked Nets | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe0…d317backed Magic | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b01…aeb1backed Nets | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…e236backed Magic | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdba3…f9ccbacked Nets | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53b5…7e4fbacked Magic | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ca…ae3fbacked Magic | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.