WNBA · resolved market
Aces vs Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe292ec79a97aad2b306dc55d43b78eadbe5384e0129e36edc31a70e7a94caf8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Acesof Aces, Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Wings | 31c | 32,614$10,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,043.13 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Aces | 67c | 32,433$21,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,681.48 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Wings | 1c | 7,181$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.81 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Aces | 68c | 6,270$4,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.58 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wings | 30c | 5,100$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.95 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Wings | 37c | 3,800$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.99 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Aces | 70c | 3,676$2,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.15 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Aces | 66c | 3,631$2,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.92 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…6d22backed Wings | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Wings | 33c | 2,992$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Wings | 6c | 2,469$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.17 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Wings | 32c | 2,016$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.17 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Aces | 64c | 1,974$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.85 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Wings | 13c | 1,625$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.26 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Wings | 19c | 999.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Wings | 28c | 999.98$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Aces | 70c | 790.01$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Wings | 30c | 704$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.16 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Aces | 76c | 693$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.48 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Wings | 34c | 665.22$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Aces | 72c | 616.83$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Wings | 30c | 558.61$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.16 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Aces | 67c | 550$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.5 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Wings | 5c | 431.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01b…c5c1backed Wings | 8c | 427.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbccd…6aeebacked Aces | 71c | 423.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wings | 21c | 419.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Wings | 34c | 408.34$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.44 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Wings | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Aces | 71c | 352.05$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.05 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Aces | 77c | 318$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.79 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wings | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Wings | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wings | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Wings | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Wings | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Wings | 29c | 259$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.11 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Wings | 31c | 246$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.13 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Wings | 30c | 201$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.79 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Aces | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Wings | 29c | 188.53$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.62 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…b19dbacked Wings | 33c | 181.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Aces | 79c | 159$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Aces | 69c | 135.62$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Wings | 26c | 130.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x490c…3093backed Wings | 34c | 107.58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a88…68cdbacked Aces | 70c | 106.67$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe913…1a90backed Wings | 29c | 103.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Aces | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Wings | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb175…236cbacked Wings | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Aces | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Wings | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 24cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…fedbbacked Wings | 37c | 71.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50f3…c2c2backed Wings | 32c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Wings | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Wings | 29c | 62.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeacf…ed1dbacked Wings | 33c | 45.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Wings | 30c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0245…6624backed Wings | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…db19backed Wings | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…0797backed Wings | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76f…b8c3backed Wings | 33c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a1…1467backed Wings | 29c | 37.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -60%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Wings | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Aces | 67c | 25.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Wings | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.