NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23ec92ce9262cfa4bfaf9bafb8d4696fa528ef2e8950b35300d5f6f41a95a399
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $876,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $983,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $876,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 962 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2273…7656backed Rockets | 67c | 109,006$73,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,034.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0c…1146backed Warriors | 33c | 109,000$35,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,030 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd126…267bbacked Rockets | 67c | 29,999$20,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,099.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Rockets | 16c | 25,922$4,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,147.42 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a2…8471backed Warriors | 33c | 21,000$6,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,070 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockets | 11c | 19,576$2,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,164.01 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Warriors | 59c | 16,616$9,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,772.25 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Warriors | 78c | 14,338$11,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,159.97 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Warriors | 51c | 13,354$6,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,509.89 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Rockets | 21c | 11,191$2,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,404.09 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4999…5fcebacked Rockets | 68c | 10,000$6,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,849.97 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -5.6wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -61%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0211…8073backed Warriors | 33c | 8,933$2,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,985.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…bf2bbacked Rockets | 3c | 8,350$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.89 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Rockets | 48c | 8,018$3,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,865.69 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Warriors | 79c | 7,780$6,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.8 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Warriors | 40c | 7,646$3,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,571.4 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Warriors | 49c | 7,128$3,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,661.38 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…eb37backed Warriors | 50c | 7,085$3,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,559.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84b5…e9a2backed Rockets | 52c | 7,077$3,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,713.38 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b3…dde6backed Rockets | 68c | 6,621$4,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,501.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rockets | 52c | 6,482$3,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,357.57 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Rockets | 7c | 5,440$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.04 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Rockets | 1c | 5,088$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Warriors | 53c | 5,066$2,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,386.54 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rockets | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Rockets | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Warriors | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…410ebacked Rockets | 54c | 4,439$2,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,383.22 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Rockets | 44c | 4,346$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.09 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Rockets | 65c | 4,290$2,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,779.67 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Rockets | 54c | 4,064$2,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,177.63 | 136 | 38.2%52 W · 84 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Rockets | 12c | 4,054$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Rockets | 52c | 4,017$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,089.06 | 197 | 8.6%17 W · 180 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Warriors | 60c | 3,979$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.94 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…12e7backed Rockets | 4c | 3,950$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.66 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Warriors | 32c | 3,886$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,642.51 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…d01fbacked Rockets | 68c | 3,682$2,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,503.65 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Warriors | 36c | 3,609$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300.48 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Rockets | 59c | 3,534$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,077.87 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Warriors | 34c | 3,474$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,286.42 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Warriors | 35c | 3,464$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,264.17 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Warriors | 55c | 3,306$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.4 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rockets | 41c | 3,255$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.4 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6674…865ebacked Warriors | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Warriors | 42c | 3,027$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,765.99 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70bc…4e16backed Warriors | 33c | 3,016$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013.33 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Rockets | 1c | 2,760$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…4253backed Rockets | 67c | 2,643$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.62 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Rockets | 46c | 2,517$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.98 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Rockets | 64c | 2,508$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.71 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Rockets | 68c | 2,500$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.99 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…ee63backed Warriors | 51c | 2,484$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.69 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Rockets | 1c | 2,444$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…c518backed Warriors | 38c | 2,372$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 41cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Warriors | 77c | 2,250$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Warriors | 46c | 2,237$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.54 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Rockets | 22c | 2,130$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.58 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Warriors | 34c | 2,100$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.95 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Rockets | 1c | 2,080$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Rockets | 62c | 2,071$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.59 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…5a05backed Warriors | 34c | 2,020$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.63 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa09…94f6backed Warriors | 48c | 2,012$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rockets | 13c | 2,001$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.32 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Warriors | 33c | 2,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.89 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Warriors | 31c | 1,993$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.08 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Warriors | 51c | 1,962$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.99 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Rockets | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Rockets | 23c | 1,908$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.37 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Warriors | 54c | 1,863$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.33 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Rockets | 2c | 1,822$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Rockets | 1c | 1,748$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Rockets | 26c | 1,700$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Warriors | 30c | 1,675$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.5 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rockets | 61c | 1,651$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.82 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Warriors | 31c | 1,650$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.41 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Warriors | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd500…eb4fbacked Warriors | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.99 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Warriors | 69c | 1,500$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.57 | 165 | 63.6%105 W · 60 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…0e96backed Rockets | 67c | 1,499$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5293…2f35backed Rockets | 67c | 1,492$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.96 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Rockets | 70c | 1,433$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Rockets | 29c | 1,364$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.46 | 172 | 56.4%97 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf816…982dbacked Warriors | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.85 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…0343backed Rockets | 69c | 1,149$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Rockets | 70c | 1,140$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.03 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…26b1backed Warriors | 47c | 1,128$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.62 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Rockets | 1c | 1,079$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…6d87backed Rockets | 51c | 1,058$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.51 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…0ee5backed Warriors | 33c | 1,030$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.35 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Rockets | 65c | 1,024$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.92 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Rockets | 13c | 1,006$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.83 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Rockets | 48c | 1,000$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.42 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Rockets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Rockets | 27c | 1,000$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9855…4211backed Warriors | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +69%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Rockets | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe034…b9f6backed Rockets | 68c | 999.99$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Warriors | 31c | 999.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.99 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Rockets | 66c | 999.97$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.98 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Rockets | 66c | 999.97$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.98 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.