WNBA · resolved market
Fever vs Sun
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19d8080bdefcc25a32f51406f0e9021a776adca6ca796fcd1ffdaa9f691c84dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Feverof Fever, Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Sun | 10c | 61,695$6,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,185 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f42…6e40backed Sun | 10c | 35,000$3,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,603.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Sun | 10c | 6,081$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.44 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sun | 10c | 3,067$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.72 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Sun | 17c | 2,189$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.33 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Sun | 10c | 1,756$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.63 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Sun | 11c | 1,185$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.75 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01b…c5c1backed Sun | 17c | 1,074$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sun | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sun | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Sun | 10c | 990$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Sun | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Fever | 76c | 900$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.47 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1f…62f3backed Sun | 10c | 870.25$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Sun | 22c | 796.19$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Sun | 17c | 748$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.11 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Sun | 11c | 684$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Sun | 10c | 550$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Sun | 15c | 387.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Sun | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…4e0bbacked Sun | 10c | 309.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Sun | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Sun | 10c | 275$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Sun | 17c | 274$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.23 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Sun | 18c | 174.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Sun | 9c | 157.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Sun | 10c | 113.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…0952backed Sun | 13c | 112.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x142c…1098backed Sun | 16c | 110.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Sun | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Sun | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88e…a7d4backed Fever | 76c | 64.47$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba73…e538backed Sun | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5657…78aebacked Fever | 80c | 14.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.82 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 72cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.